OM Test 3 Flashcards
capacity
the capability to accomplish a purpose over a specified time period
capacity is determined by
resources (organization and efficiency)
Capacity can be viewed in 2 ways
1) as the maximum rate of output/unit of time or
2) as units of resource availability
key capacity issues
Can new goods be accommodated?
Can changing demand be kept up with?
How large should capacity be?
When should capacity changes take place?
short term capacity decisions
1) amt of overtime scheduled for the next week
2) # of emergency room nurses on call during a down town festival weekend
3) # of call center workers to staff during the holiday season
long-term capacity decisions
1) Construction of a new manufacturing plant
2) Expanding the size and number of beds in a hospital
3) # of branch banks to establish in a new market territory
economies of scale
when the average unit cost of a good or service decreases as the capacity increases
focused factory
a way to achieve economies of scale without extensive investments in facilities and capacity by focusing on a few things
safety capacity (capacity cushion)
an amount of capacity reserved for unanticipated events like demand surges
average safety capacity=
avg safety capacity= 100%-Avg resource utilization%
capacity required
c=s + (p x q)
complementary goods and services
can be produced using the same resources available to the firm, but seasonal demand patterns are out of phase with each other (use excess capacity available)
long term capacity expansion strategies need to consider
amount, timing, form of capacity changes
long-term capacity strategies (there are graphs)
1) one large increase
2) small increases that match average demand
3) small capacity increases that lead demand
4) small capacity increases that lag demand
adjusting short-term capacity levels
1) add or share equipment
2) sell unused capacity
3) change labor capacity and schedules
4) change labor skill mix
5) shift work to slack periods
short term demand management
1) vary the price of goods or services
2) provide customers with info
3) ads and promos
4) add peripheral goods or services
5) provide reservations
revenue management systems
has methods to forecast demand, allocate assets, decide when to overbook, determine price (ex. airlines)
theory of constraints
a set of principles that focuses on increasing total process througput by maxing the utilization of all bottleneck work activities and workstations.
throughput
amount of money generated per time period through actual sales
physical constraint
associated with the capacity of a resource
bottleneck work activity
one that effectively limits capacity of the entire process
nonbottleneck work activity
one in which idle capacity exists
nonphysical constraint
environmental or organizational constraint
nonbottleneck management principles
1) move jobs through nonbottleneck workstations as fast as possible until the job reaches the bottleneck workstation
2) idle time here is okay
3) use smaller order (lot /transfer batches) here to keep work flowing to bottleneck stations
4) an hour lost at a nonbottleneck station incurs no real cost
bottleneck management principles
1) only bottleneck stations are critical to achieving objectives and should be scheduled first
2) an hour lost at bottleneck station is an hour lost for the entire process
3) WIP buffer inventory should be placed in front of bottlenecks to maximize resource utilization
4) Use large order sizes at bottleneck workstations to minimize setup time
5) bottleneck workstations should work at all times
utilization=
utilization = ru/ra
or
utiliztion=DR/(SR x n servers)
capacity (w u)
c= u x (sr x n)
forecasting
the process of projecting one or more variables into the future
long range forecasts
total sales dollars- top level mgmt
aggregate forecasts
sales volume- middle mgmt
forecasts of individual units
operational level
planning horizon
length of time on which a forecast is based
time bucket
(used in sales) unit of measure for the time period used in a forecast
trend
pattern
seasonal patterns
characterized by repeatable periods of ups and downs over short periods of time
cyclical patterns
regular patterns that take place over long periods of time
random variation
noise (unexplained variation)
irregular variation
one-time unexplained variation
MSE=
MSE=∑(A-F)^2/T
MSE is influenced more by
large forecast errors than small ones
Statistical forecastingq
based on the assumption that the future will be same as past
Judgmental forecasting
relies on opinions and expertise of people in developing forecasts
moving average forecast (run rate)
average of most recent observations in a time series (k)
single exponential smoothing
F= aA+(1-a)F
or
F+a(A-F)
regression analysis
a method for building a statistical model that defines a relationship between a single dependent variable and one or more independent variables
simple of linear regression finds the best values of a and b using
the method of least squares
y=
y=a+bt
multiple linear regression
more than one independent variable
grass roots forecasting
asking salespeople whats gonna happen
delphi method
forecasting by expert opinion
raw materials, component parts, subassemblies and supplies
inputs to manufacturing and service-delivery processes
WIP inventory
need further processing
finished goods inventory
completed products ready for distribution or sale to customers
safety stock inventory
(not on balance sheet) additional inventory kept over and above the avg amount