Observational studies Flashcards
What are the two main types of epidemiological study?
Descriptive and analytic
Descriptive include cross-sectional and case reports
Analytic includecohort, case-control and clinical trials
Descriptive generate hypotheses
Analytic test hypotheses
What is bias?
Systematic deviation of results from the truth or the processes leading to such deviation
What is confounding?
effects of additional variables that might be responsible for an observed association
What is incidence?
the total number of new cases commencing during a specified period in a defined population
What is prevalence?
The total number of individuals who have the disease at a particular time
How is prevalence calculated?
Incidence x duration of the disease
What is incidence rate?
Number of new cases of a specific disease in a pop over specified time / number of person years accumulated
What is the incidence risk?
number of new cases / number of people at risk at the beginning of observation period
What is the point prevalence?
Number of people with disease at some time point / total population at risk of disease at some time point
What is the period prevalence?
Number of persons with disease any time during a specified period/ total population seen over that period of time
What do ratios measure?
The strength of an association
What do differences measure?
The magnitude of effect
What are the criteria for assessing causality?
- Is it biologically plausible
- Time - a cause must precede its effect
- Strength of association - the stronger the association the less likely it is due to confounders
- Biological gradient - if there is a strong dose response then causality is plausible
- Consistency - consistent with other studies
- Specificity - if the supposed cause is associated with one diease or lots of diseases
- coherence - should not contradict what is already known of the disease
- Experiments - ocassionally natural experiments offer themselves e.g. tap flouride levels
What are case reports?
Carefully selected reports of individual patients that suggest hypotheses
What are cross sectional studies?
Looks at the point prevelance of a disease (how many people have a particular disease at a particular time)
What are the advantages and disadvantages of cross-sectional studies?
Advantages:
-Inexpensive
-Quick
Disadvantages:
-Time sequence and causation (disease and exposure measured simultaneously so hard to interpret results in terms of cause and effect)
-Cohort effects when interpreting effects with age
-Problems with interpretation of prevelence
What test is used to compare means?
T test
What test is used to compare proportions?
Chi-squared test
What test is used to compare correlations?
Pearsons correlation coefficient test
What are ecological studies?
They measure rate of death or disease in populations and the population rate of a risk factor e.g. rate of lung cancer in a population and the rate of smoking to look for a link
What is pearsons correlation coeficient?
Numerically describes the association between exposure and disease
Values range from +1 to -1
The statistical significance is shown by a p value
The null hypothesis is true if r=0