Objective 5 - Financial Statements Flashcards
Users of financial statements
- Providers of capital - investment banks, private lenders, individual investors
- Expert advisors to users of financial statements - attorneys, actuaries, accountants
- Any parties to any company transactions - policyholders and creditors
- Independent auditors
- Stock analysts
- Rating agencies
- Rule-making authorities - SEC, FASB
Criteria for an item to be included in the financial statement
- Definition - meets definition of asset, liability, revenue, or expense
- Measurability - in terms of a relevant attribute
- Relevance - info consistent, comparable, meaningful to user
- Reliability - accurate, verifiable, free of bias
Organizations responsible for setting GAAP standards
- American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA):
a) Accounting research bulletins
b) Accounting Principles Board Optinions
c) Practice bulletins
d) Industry audit guidelines - Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB):
a) Concept statements
b) Statements of Financial Accounting Standards
c) FASB interpretations
d) FASB technical bulletins
e) FASB Emerging Issues Task Force issues
f) FASB staff positions - Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) - has authority to promulgate standards, but generally relies on AICPA and FASB
Renewability provisions for health insurance products
- Guaranteed renewable - insurer cannot cancel policy, but may increase rates
- Noncancelable - insurer cannot cancel or increase premiums for any reason
- Collectively renewable - insurer may cancel policies in similar rating classes, but not individual policies
- Conditionally renewable - may be cancelled if certain specified reasons are met
- Optionally renewable - can be cancelled at any renewal date
- Short-term - provides coverage for set term, but may provide 1 or 2 renewals
Types of health insurance policies
- Medical coverages - under and over 65
- Indemnity policies - set amount per day of hosp confinement
- Medical savings accounts
- Disability income
- Income replacement policies - attempt to reimburse actual econ loss associated with disability
- Business overhead policies - costs incurred by business while key owner or manager is disabled
- LTC
- Medicare supplement
Formulas for benefit reserves and deferred acquisition cost reserves
- Definitions
a) x = issue age
b) t = policy duration
c) p = survival probability
d) v = 1 / (1 + i) i = valuation interest rate
e) B = benefits
f) S = claim cost per unit in force
g) DE = deferred acquisition expense - Benefit net premium (BNP) = Sum_(t=0) v^t * tpx * B_t / Sum_(t=0) v^t * tpx (average benefit weighted on discounted survival probability)
- Benefit reserve (BV_
a) Prospective: tBV = Sum [v^t * tpx * S_[x]+t] - Sum [v^t * tpx * BNP]
Sums all future cash flows beginning at valuation date (t)
b) Retrospective: tBV = Sum [BNP * (1+i)^t / tpx] - Sum [S_[x]+t * (1+i)^t / tpx]
Sums from time 0 to time t-1 - Deferrable acquisition expense net premium (DENP) = Sum [v^t * tpx * DE_t] / Sum [ V^t * tpx]
- Deferred acquisition cost (DAC) = Sum [DENP * (1+i)^t / tpx] = Sum [DE_t * (1+i)^t / tpx]
Types of liabilities for group life and health insurance
- Active life and unearned premium reserves - group life and health generally don’t have active life, but unearned premiums must be held as liability for active lives
- Expense capitalization - deferred policy acquisition cost of unearned gross premiums should be established as an asset
- Claim reserves and claim adjustment expense reserves
- Premium deficiency reserves - funds any projected losses in advance
- Reserves for accrued experience refunds
- Liabilities related to stop-loss reinsurance arrangements
- Deferred profit liability
Primary financial statement exhibits
- Balance sheet - financial snapshot at point in time of all assets company owns, and all claims against those assets (Assets = Liabilities + SH equity)
- Income statement - shows revenues and expenses, illustrating how owners’ equity changes over time (Revenue - Expenses = Net Income)
- Sources and Uses statement - gain a picture of where company got its money (sources) and how it spent it (uses)
- Cash Flow statement - detailed look at changes in company cash balance over time, separating changes based on if cash flow comes from operating, investing, or financing activities
Definitions of types of earnings
- Net income - total revenue less total expenses
- Operating earnings - profit realized from day-to-day operations (excludes taxes, interest income and expense, extraordinary items)
- Pro forma earnings - revenue less expenses after omitting items company believes might cloud perceptions of true earning power of business
- EBIT is earnings before interest and taxes
- EBITDA - earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization
- EIATBS - earnings ignoring all the bad stuff
Definitions of types of cash flow
- Net cash flow = Net income + Noncash items
- Cash flow from operating activities = Net cash flow plus or minus changes in current assets and liabilities
- Free cash flow = Total cash available for distribution to owners and creditors after funding all worthwhile investment activities
- Discounted cash flow = Sum of money today having same value as future stream of cash receipts and disbursements
Principle virtues of the cash flow statement
- Easy to understand
- Provides more accurate info about some activities than what appears on income statements and balance sheets
- Highlights the extent to which operations are generating or consuming cash
Primary reasons why a company’s book value does not represent the value of the company
- Financial statements are transactions based - so asset’s value on statements is based on purchase price and depreciation, not true value
- Investors buy shares of a company based on future income they hope to receive, not based on the value of company’s assets
Techniques for forecasting external funding needs
All of these techniques will produce the same estimate of external funding required
1. Pro forma statement - prediction of what the company’s financial statements will look like at the end of the forecast period. Recommended approach for most planning purposes and credit analysis
External funding required = total assets - (liabilities + owners’ equity)
2. Cash flow forecast - forecast of sources and uses of cash. Straightforward and easily understood, but less informative than pro forma statement
External funding required = total uses - total sources
3. Cash budget - forecast of cash receipts and disbursements. Appropriate for short-term forecasting and the management of cash.
Ending cash = beginning cash + total cash receipts - total cash disbursements
External funding required = minimum desired cash - ending cash
Steps in the percent-of-sales approach for creating pro forma statements
- Examine historical data to determine which financial statement items have varied in proportion to sales in the past
- Estimate future sales as accurately as possible
- Estimate statement items by extrapolating historical patterns to the newly estimated sales. Some items will not vary with sales, and will therefore need to be forecasted independently
- Test sensitivity of results to reasonable variations in sales forecast
Ways to cope with uncertainty in financial forecasts
- Sensitivity analysis - how forecast responds to change in one assump at a time
- Scenario analysis - how assumps might change in unison in response to a particular economic event. separate forecast for each scenario
- Simulation - probability distributions for number of uncertain inputs, computer generate distribution of possible outcomes
Stages of the financial planning process
- Corporate executives develop corporate strategy, including performance goals for different divisions
- Division managers determine activities needed to achieve goals from stage 1
- Department personnel develop quant plans and budgets based on activities from stage 2
Life cycle of successful companies
- Startup - company loses money while developing products, establishing market foothold
- Rapid growth - profitable but growing so rapidly that it needs regular infusions of outside financing
- Maturity - growth declines and company switches from absorbing outside financing to generating more cash than can profitably reinvest
- Decline - marginally profitable, generates excess cash, suffers declining sales
Definition of sustainable growth rate
- Sustainable growth rate (g*) represents limit on company growth if there is no external source of capital
- g* = R * ROE_bop
R = earnings retention rate = 1 - dividends/earnings
ROE_bop = earnings / equity at beginning of period - Since ROE_bop = PAT, then g* = PRAT
P = profit margin
A = asset turnover ratio
T = financial leverage = assets-to-equity ration (using BOP equity)
Therefore, to increase g*, one of P, R, A or T must increase - Since ROA = profit margin * asset turnover ratio, g* = RT * ROA
Growth management strategies for when actual growth exceeds sustainable growth
- Sell new equity - many companies are unwilling or unable
- Increase financial leverage by increasing debt
- Reduce dividend payout - not possible for most companies as they do not pay dividends
- Prune away marginal activities (“profitable pruning”) - sell off marginal operations, put money back into remaining business
- Outsource some/all production - those that are not core competencies
- Increase prices - will slow actual growth, could lead to higher profit margins
- Merge with “cash cow” - look for partner with deep pockets
Growth management strategies for when sustainable growth exceeds actual growth
- Look within firm to remove internal constraints on company growth
- Ignore problem - invest in core business despite poor returns, or sit on idle resources. May lead investors, board to force management change
- Return money to shareholders - done by increasing dividends, repurchasing shares
- Buy growth - acquire existing business, start new product line from scratch
- Reduce financial leverage
- Cut prices
Reasons why US companies don’t issue more equity
- Recently, companies in aggregate have not needed new equity
- Equity is expensive to issue (5% to 10% of amount raised)
- Many managers consider anything lowering earnings per share (EPS) bad, and issuing new equity will initially lower EPS
- Most companies feel their stock prices are undervalued, so choose not to sell new stock at what they think is too low a price
- Many managers view stock market as unreliable funding source, so build funding strategies that don’t rely on stock market
Types of group insurance financial reporting
- Statutory - focus is on solvency, so conservative standards are mandated
- GAAP - attempts to accurately reflect earnings during reporting period. Much of conservatism in statutory is removed
a) In US, publicly-traded and mutual companies must prepare GAAP reports
b) In Canada, insurers can only publish statements based on statutory accounting - Tax - in general, statutory financial reports are the starting points, with certain adjustments to reserve items
- Managerial reporting - financial reports (usually GAAP) modified to provide more accurate picture of mgmt decisions
- Policyholder reporting - info for risk-sharing arrangements, govt reporting, and for policyholders to complete their own financial reports
- Provider reporting (US only) - provides info for provider risk-sharing arrangements and medical management reporting
- Assuris (Canada only) - reporting needed for this consumer protection plan, which indemnifies policyholders of insolvent life insurers
Conservative standards mandated in statutory reporting in the US
- Certain items (such as agents’ balances) are nonadmitted assets, so not allowed in determining solvency
- NAIC prescribes asset values to be used (no flexibility)
- Deferred acquisition costs are not allowed
- Recognition of expense allowances in reserves is limited
- Only in specific circumstances can lapses be assumed in policy reserve calculations
- Minimum morbidity and mortality tables are required when determining reserves
- Maximum interest rates to be used in setting reserves are specified
- AVR and IMR are required in order to provide a cushion against investment losses and interest rate fluctuations
Solvency safeguards in the Canadian Insurance Companies Act
- Actuary is required to examine the current and future solvency position of the company
- Actuary is required to report to CEO and CFO matters the actuary believes may have material adverse effects on financial position of company, require rectification
- Copy of this report is to be provided to the directors
- If actuary believes suitable action is not being taken, actuary shall send a copy of the report to the Superintendent