Objective 1 Flashcards
What are 4 broad areas in risk identification?
(FERM8)
- RI Tools
- RI Techniques
- Assessment of risk nature
- Risk register
What are 7 risk identification tools?
(FERM8)
- SWOT analysis
- Risk checklists
- Risk prompt lists
- Risk taxonomy
- Risk trigger questions
- Case studies
- Risk-focused process analysis
What are 7 risk identification techniques?
(FERM8)
- Brainstorming
- Independent group analysis
- Surveys
- Gap analysis
- Delphi technique
- Interviews
- Working groups
What is done in the assessment of risk nature?
(FERM8)
Risks are assessed as quantifiable or unquantifiable
Provide some examples of factors included in each entry in a risk register
(FERM8)
- Unique ID
- Risk category
- Assessment date
- Description
- Quantifiability
- Likelihood
- Severity
- Exposure period
- Current status
- Scenarios
- Related risks
- Risk responses
- Cost
- Residual risks
- Review timetable and process
- Risk owner
- Entry author
What are 2 groups of liquidity risk?
(VAR13)
- Asset
- Funding
What is asset liquidity risk?
When does it arise?
(VAR13)
- Risk that the liquidation value of assets may differ significantly from the current mark-to-market values
- Arises due to a force liquidation of assets
What 3 factors affect asset liquidity risk?
(VAR13)
- The price impact of trades
- Tthe size of the positions
- Prevailing market conditions
The market-impact effect can be measured using the price-quantity function
Describe the price-quantity function and it’s relationship to (a) deep markets and (b) thin markets
(VAR13)
What is one way to control asset liquidity risk?
(VAR13)
- Through position limits, where the exposure to a single instrument is limited
What is funding liquidity risk?
(VAR13)
- a.k.a., cash flow liquidity risk
- Arises from the liability side of the BS
- The inability to meet payment obligations to creditor or investors can force unwanted liquidation of portfolio
What 3 factors affect funding liquidity risk?
(VAR13)
- Leverage
- Changes in collateral requirements
- Mismatches in timing of payments
What are 5 ways to defend against funding liquidity risk?
(VAR13)
- Cash
- Line of credit
- Fund-raising from other sources (i.e., new debt/equity)
- Evaluate the likelihood
- Avoid debt covenants or trigger options
How is asset liquidity risk assessed?
(VAR13)
- Factored into VAR measures, ensuring the horizon is >= orderly liquidation period
- Longer liquidation periods are taken into account by increasing volatility
What are 3 traditional ways to incorporate liquidity in valuation?
(VAR13)
- Treat the additional term as a loss (L1 or L2)
- Use a conservative basis (i.e., mark the portfolio to the bid/ask prices accordingly)
- Apply reserves (i.e., reserve amount is based on judgments about the liquidity of a market)
What are 3 liquidity-adjusted VARs?
(VAR13)
1. Fixed spread version
LVAR = VAR + L1 = (Waσ) + (1/2)(WS)
2. Variable spread version
LVAR = VAR + L2 = (Waσ) + (1/2)[W(S* + aσS)]
3. with Transaction costs
LVAR = a sqrt[V(W)] + C(W), where V(W) = σ2q2P02 = σ2W2
What are immediate liquidation and uniform liquidation?
(VAR13)
What is the half-life strategy?
Why use it?
(VAR13)
- The portfolio liquidation (over time) strategy where half of the portfolio is liquidated at any point in time
- It minimizes LVAR
How is funding liquidity risk assessed?
(VAR13)
- Evaluated by comparing amount of cash in hand to future payment obligations:
Cash/Funding Liquidity Ratio = Cash Equivalent / Funding VAR
where Funding VAR = aσW
- Involves examining the asset-liability structure and potential demands on cash and other sources of liquidity
What are 4 modes of “environmental scanning”?
(ERM107)
- Formal search (specific info, specific issues)
- Conditional viewing (pre-selected info, unidentified issues)
- Informal search (non specific info, specific issues)
- Undirected viewing
What is one way to scan the environment, in terms of the type of risks?
(ERM107)
1. General environmental risks
- PESTEL framework
2. Industry risks
- Porter’s five-forces model
- Porter-s national diamond model
- Industry network structures
- Competitive analyses
- Mapping of strategic groups
- Market segmentation
3. Company risks
- McKinsey 7S model
- Value-chain analysis
- VIRO framework
- Analysis of core competencies
What is included in Porter’s Five Forces Model?
(ERM107)
- The threat of new entrants
- The bargaining power of buyers
- The bargaining power of suppliers
- The threat of substitute products or services
- The intensity of competition in the industry
What is the advantage of developing a common risk management language?
What are 4 broad categories of common risk management language?
(ERM107)
- Ensures a more consistent way of looking upon and analyzing risks across the organization
- They include:
- Strategic risks
- Hazard risks
- Financial risks
- Operational risks
How is strategic analysis summarized?
What are the shortcomings of this summary?
(ERM107)
- It is summarized in a SWOT analysis
- Although it can identify important risk factors, it does not explicitly state the relative importance amongst them- can be alleviated by a risk map
Describe a risk map
(ERM107)
Descripe a risk timing graph
(ERM107)
What is an influence matrix?
Describe how to build an influence matrix.
(ERM107)
- Qualitative evaluation of the interaction between risk factors, which pinpoints the risks that have the greates potential impact
- Follow 3 steps:
- Assign how row y impacts column x from 0 to 2
- Sum values across columns (left-right) to get the total value
- Sum values across rows (top-down) to get the passive score
What are the major steps to create a scenario planning?
(ERM107)
- Identify key environemntal risk factors
- Elaborate major themes that may characterize future competitive developments
- Create environmental scenarios based on the major themes (e.g., a 2x2 matrix of combinations of 2 major themes)
- Evaluate key strategic risk factors in various scenarios (e.g., common risk factor across the 2x2 matrix)
- Formulate strategic alternatives/options and evaluate them in different scenarios
What are the benefits of scenario planning?
(ERM107)
- Helps managers evaluate robustness of strategic alternatives
- Develop response capabilities for future unexpected events
- Improve future performance through structure thinking around possible scenarios
What are the tools and approaches used to handle different images of risk?
(ERM107)
- Traditional planning tools (can be complemented with scenario planning / real options)
- Scenario analysis
- Continency planning (useful for pre-defined/predictable risks)
- Real options (can be created via planned trails or autonomous experiments)
- Mindfulness
- Learning and selection (can include trails to test alternative solutions)
What are the 2 primary goals of effective ERM?
(ERM117)
- To identify, evaluate, and quantify (if possible) risks and their correlations/dependencies from all sources across an organization
- To ensure the organization actively implements risk treatment strategies that leverage knowledge of its risks to achieve appropriate risk and return tradeoffs in accordance with an organization’s values and goals
What are 3 key concepts of an ERM framework?
(ERM117)
- A core risk culture, risk organization, and risk governance
- An iterative process (a.k.a., an ERM control cycle) of:
- identifying and evaluating risks,
- setting risk treatment strategies,
- monitoring results
- Recognition of external impacts and influences from:
- the economy,
- the marketplace,
- the views of regulators, the investment community, and rating agencies
Describe how the 3 key concepts of an ERM framework are illustrated
(ERM117)
What are the building blocks of ERM?
(ERM117)
- Risk identification and categorization
- Risk evaluation
- Risk treatment
- Strategic treatment of risk
- Risk monitoring
- External impacts and influences
What are 5 characteristics of an insurance organization’s risk identification process?
(ERM117)
- Comprehensive (covers all material and emerging risks)
- Inclusive (all risk-taking functions of the org are involved)
- Efficient (balance bottom-up and top-down processes)
- Consistent (common framework)
- Focused (qualitative, quantitative assessment and prioritization)
What are some sources to scan for emerging risks?
(ERM117)
- Attending industry conferences
- Researching industry and academic journals
- Serving on industry committees
- Conducting discussions with industry experts
- Conducting comparative analysis of risks disclosed by competitors
- Understanding general socio-economic and technological trends
- Reading ERM surveys and analyses
- Introspective review of the exposures, claims, policyholder populations, terms and conditions of the policies written, etc.
What are senior management risk workshops for?
What are 4 important considerations?
(ERM117)
It is an effective method to identify enterprise-wide risks if performed periodically.
Includes:
- Workshop participants
- Advance communication
- Risk registries, assessment surveys, or interviews
- Workshop itself