Monetary Policy/Structural Change/Productivity Measures Flashcards
Definition of Monetary Policy
Carried out by the RBA and involves the management of interest rates in order to influence the level of economic activity.
Objectives of Monetary Policy
Price Stability - keeping inflation rate low (between 2-3%)
Full employment - keeping unemployment low (5-6%)
Economic prosperity and welfare - increasing living standards
Ways to measure inflation for Monetary Policy
Headline inflation - most common way of measuring inflation by using the consumer price index (CPI). CPI is a basket of goods which contain over 100,000 individual goods and services made locally and overseas.
Underlying inflation - this is the headline inflation rate minus volatile and seasonal elements and is meant to provide a more accurate measure of inflation.
The Cash Rate/Interest Rate
Interest rates represent the price of money and credit. They are pro cyclical so they move with the business cycle. An increase in demand funds (or decrease in supply of funds) will increase rates.
Factors affecting interest rates are:
- The level of economic activity
- The level of Government borrowing - an increase in the budget deficit will increase demand for funds and increase interest rates
- Inflation - will cause normal interest rates to rise
- Decisions by the RBA in changing the cash rate will flow onto other rates
How does monetary policy work?
The RBA’s monetary policy instrument is the cash rate. The RBA adjusts this flow of money to the big banks depending on whether they want to increase or decrease the growth of the economy.
Expansionary measures include lowering the cash rate so the interest rate falls enticing investment and greater consumption.
Contractionary measures include raising the cash rate so the interest rate rises and slows down the economy because it will then cost more to take out loans and invest/consume.
Transmission mechanism
Explains the effect a change in interests have on the level of economic activity. Consists of four elements: - Savings and investment decisions - Cash flow of households and firms - Asset prices - The exchange rate
Affect of monetary policy on consumption
A fall in interest rates causing:
- a time shift effect - encouraging consumption and discouraging saving
- A cash flow effect - by leaving more money left over in households and businesses for other spending and interest payments
- An asset price effect - by increasing property prices and share values, and hence increasing the level of wealth
- An expectations effect - by creating an expansionary economic mood or climate
Affect of monetary policy on planned investment
A fall interest rates affect planned expenditure through:
- a time shift effect, encouraging investment by reducing the price of borrowing
- a cash flow effect, by reducing interest payments of debtor businesses
Affect of monetary policy on net exports
A fall in interest rates affects net exports through:
- An exchange rate affect, by causing the exchange rate to depreciate and in time narrow the trade gap
Monetary policy’s strengths:
- Very flexible - changes can be made at any time
- Very short inside lag (decision and action lags are shorter than Fiscal Policy)
- Politically neutral
- More effective in the boom phase of the business cycle
- Very effective with a floating exchange rate
Monetary policy’s weaknesses:
- may be ineffective during a recession - even low interest rates may not encourage higher levels of spending if economic confidence is low
- Effect lag is much longer than Fiscal policy (big 4 banks take a long time to pass down changes)
- Indirect and blunt instrument - all sectors are affected by a change in interest rates
Definition of structural change
Involves adjustments in the composition and location of production and employment in an economy over time.
- Involves a shift of resources from slower growing areas of the economy to faster growing areas.
Structural change is a constant process that is always necessary
Domestic factors causing structural changes
- income growth (difference in income elasticity)
- Economic reform measures (privatisation)
- Productivity change
- Technology changes
- Research development
International factors causing structural change
- competition from East and South-East Asian producers
- demand for resources
- change in product prices
- exchange rate adjustments
- change in relative inflation rates
- change in relative productivity
- free trade agreements/change in the level of protectionism