Module 5 Flashcards

1
Q

Coefficient of determination (r squared)

A

Determines how best fit data is to a line

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2
Q

When coefficient of determination is 0….

A

Data does not fit on a line

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3
Q

When coefficient of determination is 1….

A

Data perfectly fits to a line

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4
Q

Volcanic eruptions increases…

A

Greenhouse gases which result in warming

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5
Q

What 3 main gases come from a volcano?

A

Water vapor, carbon dioxide and sulphur dioxide

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6
Q

Equation for the speed of an object falling due to gravity

Hint: Think of y=mx+c

A

v=gt, c =0

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7
Q

Least Squares method

A

Determines line of best fit for a model of data which yields the minimum squared distance between the data and the straight line

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8
Q

Linear Regression Analysis

A

Using idea of least-squares straight fit line to explore whether or not two or more time series are related

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9
Q

In linear regression what are the variables x and y referred to as?

A

x- predictor

y- predictand

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10
Q

What has been the trend in temperature in the last 55 years?

A

Undeniably going upward with an increase of 25%

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11
Q

What are two things covered in this module which affect global average temperatures?

A

Greenhouse gases

Volcanic eruptions

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12
Q

Sulphate aerosols (from large volcanic eruptions)

A

Particles which act as a shield against incoming solar radiation, increasing effective albedo of the Earth and reducing the global average surface temperature

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13
Q

How long can sulphate aerosols stay in the stratosphere before settling in the troposphere?

A

Two years

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14
Q

Carbon dioxide concentration is related to…

A

The rising global average surface temperature

Remember! Correlation does not prove causation!

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15
Q

Radiative Equilibrium

A

Net radiation absorbed = net radiation emitted

Temperature is unchanged

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16
Q

If net radiation absorbed is more than net radiation emitted…

A

Temperature goes up

17
Q

If net radiation absorbed is less than net radiation emitted…

A

Temperature goes down

18
Q

Stefan-Boltzmann Law

A

A black body is a perfect absorber and emitter of energy

19
Q

Major Greenhouse Gases

Hint: There are 7

A

Water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, ozone, freon-11, freon-12

20
Q

Which Greenhouse Gases have the most concentration?

A

Water vapor and carbon dioxide

21
Q

Where does most of water vapor reside?

A

The troposphere

22
Q

Greenhouse Effect

A

Greenhouse gases (and clouds) absorb the infrared radiation emitted by the Earth and re-emit it back to the surface, warming it more

23
Q

Albedo

A

Fraction of incident solar radiation that is reflected by clouds

24
Q

High albedo implies what kind of effect?

A

A cooling effect

25
Q

Thick, low altitude clouds have…

A

A stronger albedo effect than greenhouse effect, which cools the Earth

26
Q

Thin, high altitude clouds have…

A

A stronger greenhouse effect than albedo effect, which warms the Earth

27
Q

All clouds are excellent absorbers of…

A

Infrared radiation

28
Q

The net influence of all clouds…

A

Cools the Earth

29
Q

The IR flux/temperature feedback

A

As temperature increases, so does outgoing energy which in turn decreases temperature

30
Q

Water vapor feedback

A

As surface temperature increases, so does atmospheric water vapor and the greenhouse effect, which keeps the temperature increasing

31
Q

Snow/Ice Albedo

A

As surface temperature decreases, snow and ice increase which results in a decrease in planetary albedo
(works in both directions)

32
Q

El Nino events result in…

A

Warmer than average surface temperatures

33
Q

Brewer-Dobson Circulation

A

Circulation in stratosphere directed from the equator to the poles. Effective in transporting volcanic gases

34
Q

Examples of natural forcing

A

Changes in solar radiation, orbital changes, volcanic activity

35
Q

Examples of anthropogenic forcing

A

Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations (particularly carbon dioxide emissions)

36
Q

Natural climate variability

A

Variability that is intrinsic to the climate system and independent of climate forcing
(i.e. ENSO, PNA, NAO, etc)

37
Q

Global Climate Models (GCMs)

A

Complicated mathematical representations of what we think we know about the planet

38
Q

What is useful for running GCMs because of uncertainties?

A

Ensembles