Models of causality I Flashcards
Deterministic model
C —> D
• Specificity of the cause
• Specificity of the disease
• C is a sufficient and necessary cause for D
Koch’s postulates (deterministic model)
• The organism is always found in people with the disease (necessary cause).
• The organism is not found with any other disease (specificity of the effect).
• The organism, when isolated from one who has the disease, and cultured through several generations, produces the disease (in experimental animals) (sufficient cause), and only one microorganism is isolated in a pure culture (specific cause).
-> Not perfect but very useful for infectious diseases.
-> Does no longer apply
Multicausal model
It originates from the fact that we live in an ecological system where there is a complex relationship between factors intrinsic to the individual and extrinsic factors.
Intrinsic factors
Genoma
Specific immunity
Personality
Extrinsic factors
Biological
Social
Chemical
Physical
Types of causal relationships in multicausal model
Conjunctive plurality of causes
Disjunctive plurality of causes
(In both cases, each cause can lead to multiple outcomes)
Conjunctive plurality of causes
Each factor is necessary, but not sufficient
Disjunctive plurality of causes
Each factor is sufficient, but not necessary
Rothman’s model allows to
Explain certain epidemiological phenomena:
- Strength of the association
- Interaction
- Proportion of a disease that can be attributed to a given exposure
- Induction period
Rothman’s modified deterministic model
(Presentación)