Midterm (up until oct.5) Flashcards
Describe the scarcity-development cycle
- New resources “created”
- Prices fall –> demand rises
- Easily accessible –> Reserves exhausted
- Scarcity
- Prices rise, stimulates R&D
- Innovations lead to substitution, reuse and recycle
- etc. (back to the beginning)
Types of resources
non-renewable, renewable, recyclable
Non-renewable resources examples
petroleum (fossil fuels), coal, natural gas, metals (recycling makes metals semi-renewable)
Non-renewable definition
fixed stock
depletable (natural replenishment too slow)
using them permanently depletes resource
Estimated non-renewable resource definition
total finite physical quantity
Proven or current non-renewable resource definition
known resources profitably extractible given current prices, technology
(we know how, where, how much). Can change with technology and cost
potential non-renewable resource definition
profitably extractible at a given price (example: oil sands, energy alternatives)
If prices increase, what happens to proven and potential reserves
Proven and potential reserves increase
Reserves
measure for availability of resource.
oil in place definition
total estimated amount of oil on Earth (producible and non-producible).
oil reserves
producible oil
Why is some oil non-producible?
reservoir characteristics and limitations in petroleum extraction technologies
recovery factor
the ratio of reserves to the total amount of oil in a particular reservoir
4 highest proven oil reserves ranked highest to lowest
Venezuela
Saudi Arabia
Canada
Iran
Renewable resources definition
natural replenishment at non-negligible useful rate
grow and flow (forests, fish, water, wind, solar)
resources that can be recycled (e.g. metals)
availability (based on regeneration rate)
sustainable yield
common property or public
biological resource
renewable resource
wild game
domesticated animals
forest biomass
wild and domestic plants
non-biological resource
renewable resource
sunlight, water, winds, and waves
ubiquitous resource
available everywhere on the earth
air, water
localized resource
available at select locations on earth
Topography, climate and altitude are the major factors which affect the distribution of natural resources
Who said this: “Population, when unchecked, increases in a geometrical ratio. Subsistence
increases only in an arithmetical ratio. A slight acquaintance with numbers will show the immensity of the first power in comparison of the second”
Malthus
1798
Carrying capacity
maximum population that a given area can sustain
carrying capacity for biological species
maximum number of individual of that species that the environment can carry and sustain considering its geography or physical features
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY)
the largest yield (or catch)
that can be taken from a species’ stock over an indefinite period
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of a renewable resource
the rate at which a resource can be extracted without affecting the ability to continue to extract the resource at that rate indefinitely
ecological deficit
when the load imposed by a given human population on its own territory or habitat exceeds the productive capacity of that habitat
overshoot
when it exceeds available carrying capacity
impair the longterm productive potential of its habitat, reducing future carrying capacity
may survive temporarily, but eventually crash
Club of Rome’s take on population
only solution is to halt population/economic growth
exponential growth with fixed limits
wrongly predicted massive famine
Malthusian view on population
graph: leads to food deficit
- linear food production
- exponential pop. growth
Marx and neo-marx view on population
population/scarcity of resources are not the problem
distribution is the problem
technological change can overcome these issues
graph:
food production linear with vertical increases due to innovation
pop. growth exponential
always food surplus
Cornucopian, techno-optimist view on population
human knowledge and ingenuity is the ultimate resource
population is the solution
more people=more innovation
IPAT
an equation to study environmental impact
I=PAT
where, I=impact on ecosystem
P=population
A=affluence
T=technology
Global North
Global North: Canada, United States, some of the Caribbean, most of Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea
Global North and South based on what?
income and standards of living
Population predictions for 2050
high=10.6 B
medium 8.9 B
low=7.4 B
How does affluence cause environmental damage?
high productivity levels cause greater throughput of materials and energy per person
higher income levels greater consumption of energy and materials (more technology=more energy)
greater throughput more resources used
urbanization disconnects producers and consumers so consumers don’t see the influence of environmental degradation on their lives
How does poverty cause environmental damage?
Agriculture: leads to deforestation, topsoil erosion, water contamination, etc.
Worsened by population pressures, lack of control over local resources and poor governance, inability to invest in environment
Industry: inefficient, dirty industry locates where wages and influence over environment are low, cuasing air, land, water pollution.
- cost-based competition
- labour intensive
- low capacity to invest in environment
Continuous of colonization and industrial practices
The demographic equation
R=(b-d)+(i-e)
where,
R=pop. growth rate
b=birth rate
d=death rate
i=immigration rate
e=emigration rate
Crude birth rate (CBR)
annual number of live births per 1000 population
Crude death rate (CDR)
annual deaths per 1000 population
Total fertility rate (TFR)
average number of children a woman would likely have during her childbearing years
varies by location and culture
Replacement fertility rate
number of children a couple must have to replace themselves
keeping constant pop.
varies depending on infant mortality rate
Assuming there are no migration flows and that mortality rates remain
unchanged, a total fertility rate of how many children per woman generates broad
stability of population?
2.1
(0.1 counteracts infant mortality)
Infant mortality rate (IMR)
deaths < 1 year old per 1000 live births
Life expectancy at birth
average years a new-born infant can expect to live
Rate of Natural Increase (RNI)
CBR-CDR
22/1000-12/1000=10/1000=1%
Doubling time
years needed to double pop. in size assuming constant RNI
70 / annual growth rate in %
What affects fertility
biological factors (age, health, diet)
ecnonomic factors (income)
cultural factors (education, age of marriage, contraceptive use, abortion)
Demographic transition
stage 1: pre-industrial CBR=CDR
stage 2: transitional (europeean 1750s), colonization, death rates start to decline due to nutrition, hygiene, public health.
birth rates stay high
CBR»CDR; high pop. growth
But birth rates start declining as people become confident in survival of infants due to reduced IMR
stage 3: industrial, death rates reach minimum with further improvements in public health and health care
birth rates decline further due to reduced need for labour, rising incomes with urbanization
CBR>CDR but pop. growth rate declines
stage 4: post-industrial
CBR=CDR
Demographic trap
Countries may be stuck in Stage 2 – CBR»_space; CDR
Low CDR due to improved nutrition, health care
High CBR – rural, subsistence economy → marginal lands →
need for family labour → high birth rates
Vicious circle – environmental degradation → poverty → need for family labour → high birth rates
LIC (low-income countries) pop. pyramid
high proportion (30-40%) in reproductive, pre-reproductive groups – momentum)
HIC (high-income countries) pop. pyramid
low proportion of youth
pro-natalist policies
to control but also boost pop.
immigration (working age)
coercive incentives
- discouraging banning abortions (Romania 1960s)
- baby bonues (Singapore, Qbc)
- taxation policies (tax reductions, credits)
- maternity/paternity leave; child care subsidies
pro-natalist policies motivation
declining population
political
military
ethnic
effective ways to control population (without coercion)
socio-economic developments:
- female literacy and economic independence
- poverty alleviation, economic security, access to resources
- family planning
- public, primary health servies to reduce IMR
(It is only when these socio-economic conditions are created will there be an
incentive to have fewer children, and the provision of family planning and contraceptives will become useful)
How can we adjust Earth’s carrying capacity?
increase capacity by using technology efficiency of resource use, resource substitutions and other innovations
reduce numbers through family planning
decrease demands, change people’s interactions through governance justice and vegeterian diets
Why is renewable energy better
no extraction races, decentralized production, sustainable, no GHGs, less pollution
renewable energy sources
solar radiation, radioactive decay, tides, earth’s rotational energy
non-renewable sources
coal, oil, peat, uranium, gas
energy storages
batteries, hydro, liquid fuels, hydrogen, oxidizable metal fuels, pressurized air, liquid salts, trees
which energy sources are the most unsafe and produce the most GHG
coal
oil
natural gas
biomass
which energy sources are the most safe and clean
solar
nuclear energy
wind
hydropower