Market Failure: Asymmetric info and Public Goods Flashcards
What is meant by asymmetric info?
Asymmetric info is a situation in which the buyer knows more than the seller - or the seller knows more than the buyer - about the thing they’re bargaining over.
ex. when it comes to selling used cars, sellers are much more knowledgable about the true quality of the vehicles than the buyers.
on the other hand, when it comes to home insurance, the buyers of the insurance policies are much better informed because they know all about their homes, and the security methods they employ to safeguard them.
What is symmetric info?
Info can be incomplete but SYMMETRIC when each party is equally in the dark about the other.
What does asyymetric info limit?
It limits exchange in a market.
If you know that the other person is better informed than you, you’re afraid that he may use his info to take adv of you.
Similarly, if you cannot expect their honesty in the deal, you will be less likely to make one.
How can asymmetric info lead to MARKET FAILURE (or even market collapse)?
It depends on how bad the asymmetric info is.
If you have huge worries that that the seller of the used car may be exagerating the value of the vehicle she’s trying to sell you, you probably aren’t going to buy it. This sounds logical, but it prevents the sale of good cars because everybody’s worried about bad cars.
If insurance co.’s can’t figure out a way to tell the good insurance risks from the bad insurance risks, they may charge high rates to everybody as though everyone is a high risk. And that typically causes the low risk people not to buy insurance because they know they’re being overcharged.
Who is George Akerloff?
berkely economist. Received the nobel prize in economics in 2001 for his paper called ‘the market for lemons’ - which is about asymmetric info and market failure in the used cars market.
Why was Akerloff interested in the used car market?
Because it suffered from an interesting form of market failure: almost all the used cars for sale are lousy (lemons).
Akerloff explained that poor-quality cars, dominate the market because asymmetric info drives away almost all SELLERS who want to part with high-quality used cars.
In akerloff’s model what are the 3 types of used cars available for buyers?
3 types: good, okay and bad.
they all look and drive the same but they all have major differences in terms of how much longer they’re going to last until the engine dies.
Because of the difference in engine quality the good cars are worth: £15G, the okay = 10G and the bad = 5G
What causes the market failure? asymmetric info between buyers and sellers - in particualr, although each seller knows how good their own car’s engines are, they buyers have no way of knowing.
How much is a buyer willing to pay for a used car?
Because sellers have no way of proving to buyers how good their cars are, a sensible thing to do when presented with a used car is to assume its of average quality - therefore the buyer offers 10G
What are the different reactions of the seller to the 10G offer?
depending on the true quality of their cars
1) if the seller knows its a bad car (worth 5G) he happily accepts your offer
2) if the seller knows its an ok car he accepts because you’re offering what the car’s worth
3) if the seller knows its a good car he doesnt accept (unless he’s desperate)
What happens to all the good cars because of the 10G offer from buyers?
the result is that all the good cars on the market are withdrawn, leaving only bad and ok car.
How does taking all the good cars off the market change what the buyer is willing to offer?
so now a 50/50 chance exists that a car is ok or bad.
So now the buyer offers the seller 7.5G.
How does the seller react to a 7.5G offer for an ok car?
remember ok cars = worth 10G
Now the market becomes even more dysfunctional.
becaus ethe seller is going to reject your offer and withdraw all their ok cars from the market as well.
How does the used car market end up as a market for lemons?
Because the good and okay cars are all withdrawn the only cars left are the bad ones - the lemons.
Are buyers aware that the used car market ends up as a market for lemons?
Yes.
And so they only off 5G for any car on the market.
And because only bad cars are offered, the sellers accept the 5G.
So although the bad cars end up being priced correctly in the used car market, no market exists for good or even ok used cars.
How is Akerloff’s model related to the credit crunch?
Following the Lehman Brothers’ bankrupcy filling in sept 08, crediors began to wonder whether Lehan was the only poor debtor in town (as we no know, they weren’t).
Soon, the financial sector began to withdraw credit from the market as the sums were done and exposures calculated. Lenders could not be confident that borrowers were not lemons, and so they began to withdraw their custom from the market - just like Akerloff predicted.
This withdrawal of credit from the market is what we now call - the credit crunch.
What is one way a seller can convince a buyer that she’s really got a good car?
Offer the buyer a warranty.
A warranty is convincing because only the seller of a good car is willing to offer one - the seller knows the car won’t break down after the sale, meaning she’s never going to have to pay for repairs.
On the other hand, the seller of a bad car would never offer a warranty because he knows that his car is likely to break down and that he’s going to have to pay for the repairs.
Also known as ‘signalling’ - signal = a way to indicate that your product is high quality.
What is another way of solving the lemons problem?
Building a reputation.
Compare a used car dealership with an individual selling her car online.
She has much more of an incentive to lie about the quality of the car than the dealer who has to worry about his reputation - think what happens to him if he lies.
As a result, most good used cars are sold through used car dealers.
What asymmetric info problem do insurance co’s face?
The people buying the insurance know more than the co. aboout the risks they face.
What is ADVERSE SELCTION?
Even good drivers need insurance as they’re sometimes involved in accidnets which were not their fault. But bad drivers want insurance EVEN MORE to help pay for all the accidnets they know they’re going to cause because of their poor driving. Economists call this situation ADVERSE SELECTION.
An asymmetric info proble, faces the insurance co because although individual drivers know they’re good or bad, the insurance co can’t easily tell them apart. If they could, they’d simply charge the good drivers a low rate for insurance and the bad drivers a high rate.
Since the insurance co’s can’t tell good and bad drivers apart, what risks do they face?
Therefore they face the risk of going bankrupt.
Imagine that the insurance co’s offer the same low rate to everyone, as though they were ALL good drivers. This strategy soon leads to bankruptcy because the insurance co’s aren’t collecting enough in premiums to pay off all the damage caused by the bad drivers.
What do the insurance co’s do to avoid bankruptcy?
They go to the other extreme and charge everyone the high rates as though they were ALL bad drivers.
But then the good drivers stop buying insurance because for them it’s overpriced. The result is that only bad drivers sign up for insurance.
How do insurance co’s tell whether an individual is a good or bad driver?
They look for clues about the individual based on the groups to which he or she belongs.
ex. malesunder 25 get into more car accidents than females uner 25. So if a 23 yo male and 22 yo female walk into an insurance co, chances are the male is the worse driver out of the 2 and so you charge him a higher rate.
What is the benefit to society when insurance co’s group individuals to tell them apart?
This situation has the nice result of making sure that everybody can get insurance at what is LIKELY to be a fair price given the fact that, on average, males under 25 get into more accidents than females under 25.
In reality, what is the real reason why insurance companies group individuals to tell them apart?
The real reason they do so is because they have no choice; competition forces them to do so.
Imagine 2 insurance co’s, only 1 of which uses group-membership info to help set rates. The co that doesn’t use group info has to set very high rates because of the fear that all its customers might be bad drivers - and this drives away all the good drivers who don’t want to pay bad driver rates for insurance.
What unfair conclusions are made by insurance complanies using group-membership info?
Sometimes, good-driving yound males end up paying higher rates than bad driving young females because the only thing insurance co’s have to go on is gender.
Still though, this system is better than the even more unfair alternative in which ALL good drivers ahve to pay bad-driver rates - which is what would happen if insurance co’s were banned from using group-memebership info.
What is the group for which insurance co’s have the greatest need to use group-memebership info?
New drivers.
Because insurance co’s don’t have any accident or violaion records for new drivers, a pressing need exists to try to separate the good from the bad drivers using group-memebership info.
As drivers get more experience, the insurance co’s can get increasingly accurate accident and violation info that ditinguishes the good from the bad.