Macroeconomics: Economic performance Flashcards
What is economic growth?
Long-run increase in a country’s productive capacity/potential national output.
What is the difference between short-run and long-run growth?
Short-run growth=cyclical
Long-run growth=driven by a sustained increase in LRAS
What is the difference between actual growth and potential growth?
Actual growth is an increase in an economy’s GDP over a specific period.
reflects the economy’s current performance
considers factors such as changes in consumer spending, business investment, government spending, and net exports.
Potential growth is the economy’s maximum sustainable expansion rate without generating inflationary pressures.
determined by the economy’s productive capacity, which is influenced by factors such as technological progress, labour force growth, and capital accumulation.
What is potential output (GDP)?
An economy’s productive capacity in a physical sense.
the largest output that could be produced, given the prevailing state of technology and stock of available resources.
An increase in potential output signifies long-run economic growth.
What is trend growth?
Long-term non-inflationary increase in GDP caused by an increase in a country’s productive capacity.
What are the drivers of short-term economic growth?
Expansionary monetary policy (lower interest rates etc)
Expansionary fiscal policy (direct and indirect tax cuts, increased gov spending and borrowing)
Depreciating exchange rate (more exports)
Strong growth of asset prices
Expanding employment and rising real incomes for those in work
Improved business confidence
Increased export sales from a boom/recovery in countries that are major trade partners aided by free-trade deals
What is long-term economic growth?
Long-run growth is a sustained increase in a country’s productive capacity.
What are the main drivers of long-term economic growth?
Improvements in productivity and a growing labour supply alongside the benefits of technological change.
What are the costs of economic growth?
Pollution, uses finite resources, destroys local cultures
What are the benefits of economic growth?
Increases standard of living and welfare, provides new environmentally friendly technology, increases peoples lives and reduce diseases.
What is an economic cycle?
Refers to the fluctuation of economic activity in an economy over time.
Involves alternating periods of expansion and contraction in real economic output, employment, and other key indicators.
What is actual growth/output?
The level of real output produced in the economy in a particular year.
What is trend growth/output?
What the economy is capable of producing when working at full capacity.
What are the stages of an economic cycle?
Boom: a period when % rate of growth of real GDP is fast and higher than the long-term trend.
Slowdown: a weakening of the rate of growth, real GDP is still rising but increasing at a slower rate.
Recession: a period of at least 6 months when an economy suffers a fall in aggregate output, employment, investment and business/consumer confidence.
Recovery: a phase after recession, during which real GDP starts to increase and unemployment begins to fall.
Depression: a prolonged downturn in the economy and where a nation’s real GDP falls by at least 10%.
What is sustained economic growth?
Growth which can be maintained over a long period of time.
What is sustainable economic growth?
Growth that takes into account the needs of future generations.
What is the output gap?
Occurs when there is a difference between the actual level of output and the potential level of output.
Measured as a % of national output.
What is the difference between a positive output gap and a negative output gap?
A negative output gap occurs when the actual level of output is less than the potential level of output putting downward pressure on inflation meaning there is the unemployment of resources in an economy, A positive output gap occurs when the actual level of output is greater than the potential output which could be due to resources being used beyond the normal capacity. Therefore, is productivity is growing, the output gap becomes positive putting upwards pressure on inflation.
What is the Kuznets curve?
Representation of the relationship between economic development and income inequality.
What are the stages of the Kuznets curve?
1) Low-income stage: income inequality tends to be relatively low as most people are engaged in similar occupations, and there are limited opportunities for significant income imbalance.
2) High-income stage: income inequality may increase. Industrialisation often leads to the growth of cities and the emergence of new industries resulting in wage imbalances between skilled and unskilled workers, as well as between urban and rural areas.
3) Turning point: Income inequality reaches its peak.
4) High-income stage: Income inequality is expected to decline. In post-industrial services, there may be more emphasis on service industries, education, and technology, which can lead to a more even distribution of income.
What are the drawbacks of the Kuznets curve?
May not be as relevant as the relationship between economic development and income inequality is influenced by a wide range of factors including technological change, globalisation, and policy choices.
What is an economic boom?
A period of strong economic growth, characterised by increased economic activity, production, and employment.
A boom happens when actual growth of real GDP is well above a country’s trend growth rate leading to actual GDP rising above potential GDP causing a positive output gap.
What is an economic slowdown?
Happens when the pace of growth drops.
The economy is still growing but at a weaker pace.
e.g. central banks might respond to an increase in inflation by raising interest rates to slow down consumer spending and business investment leading to an economic slowdown.
What is a recession?
Contraction in various key economic indicators e.g. real GDP, employment, consumer spending, business investment, and industrial production.