Macro UK Economy Stats 2025 Flashcards

1
Q

Annual Growth Rate (2024)

A

1.1%

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2
Q

Quarterly growth rate

A

0.1% Q4 2024, 0.0% Q3 2024

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3
Q

Annual growth forecast

A

1% OBR, 0.75% BOE

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4
Q

Output gap

A

-0.6%

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5
Q

GDP per capita

A

£36000

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6
Q

Total GDP

A

£2.851 trillion

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7
Q

Unemployment rate

A

4.4%

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8
Q

Employment rate

A

75.1%

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9
Q

Economic inactivity rate

A

21.4%

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10
Q

Wage growth

A

5.9%

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11
Q

Job Vacancies

A

Falling

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12
Q

Youth unemployment

A

13.3%

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13
Q

Consumer confidence

A

Very weak

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14
Q

Business confidence

A

Very weak

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15
Q

CPI Inflation rate

A

2.6%

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16
Q

Core inflation rate

A

3.4%

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17
Q

Producer price inflation

A

0.3%

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18
Q

Inflation expectations

19
Q

Wage growth

20
Q

Current Account Deficit

A

2.6% of GDP

21
Q

Productivity and investment

A

Very poor (especially after GFC and Brexit respectively)

22
Q

Minimum wage for over 21s

A

£12.21/ hour

23
Q

Exchange rate

A

Historically Weak
£1=$1.32
£1=€1.16

24
Q

Why is the weak pound in the UK generally a bad things for the current account?

A

We lack a major manufacturing base (only 14% of GDP)- hard to take advantage of exports
Also what we tend to export dominantly are non-price sensitive services (Inelastic PED)- hard to take advantage of cheaper exports
Also, what we tend to import are necessity imports which we lack domestic substitutes for, making those necessity imports more expensive (undesirable)

25
US and Euro Area- effect on export demand
US is slowing and Euro Area is stagnating, reducing export demand
26
Forecast for budget deficit as a % of GDP (2024-2025)
High at 4.8% GDP- Gov borrowing of £137 billion
27
National Debt
95.5% of GDP
28
Bond Yields
4.67%
29
Income tax bands
Frozen until April 2028 inducing fiscal drag (forecast to earn Gov extra £45bn a year by 2028), higher rate of 45% used to apply on those over £150,000, now just over £125,000
30
National insurance on employees
Fallen from 12% to 10% to 8% Supply- side measure- reduce economic inactivity
31
National insurance on employers
Gone up
32
Corporation tax
Increased last April from 19% to 25%
33
Tax burden
Highest it’s been in the UK since the 1940s
34
VAT
20%
35
Gini Coefficient
Increased to 0.357
36
Bank of England Base Rate
4.5%
37
Average lending rate
4.75%
38
Banks willingness to lend
Good
39
Savings ratio
12%
40
All- time quantitative easing
£895 billion
41
What percentage of GDP is the services sector?
79%
42
What percentage of GDP is the construction sector
6%
43
What percentage of UK GDP is agricultural?
1%