MACRO - LS2 - Measures Of Economic Preformance (Part 3) Flashcards
What is the balance of payments
Record of payments between one country & the rest of the world over a period of time between financial agents
What is the balance of payments made up of
- current account
- financial account
- capital account
What’s the current account and what’s it made up of
Records trade in goods, services, investments, income and transfers
- Trade in goods
- Trade in services
- Primary income
- Secondary income
Trade in goods
- known as visibles - tangible products being traded across borders
Trade in services
Intangible products known as invisibles
E.g. export could be foreign tourists staying in London hotel or foreign companies buying British insurance
E.g. importing could be British national paying for holiday abroad e.g. Spain
Primary income
Results from the loan of factors of productions abroad
For UK mainly interest profits and dividends on assets owned aborad
Secondary income / transfers
Transfer of money from a person to another
Also government transfers to organisations like the EU
BALANCE OF TRADE EQUATION
= Exports - Imports
CURRENT BALANCE EQUATION
= Balance of trade + balance of primary & secondary income
Exports
- inward flow of money
- shown with positive sign
Imports
- Outward flow of money
- shown with negative sign
Trade surplus
When a country’s exports revenue exceeds cost of their imports
Trade deficit
When a country’s total import exceeds value of their export revenue
UK Balance of payments
- deficit consistently since 1984 - all time high in 2016
Generally negative goods and positive services
Reasons for a larger UK trade deficits 2022-2023
- export growth has earned - UK businesses claim that exports to EU are being hampered by non-tarrif barriers after leaving EU
- Higher global prices for essential imports - such as crude oil p/natural gas surged in 2021-22
- Currency weakness - external value of the pound against the Euro and dollar fell sharply in latter part of 2022
Possible consequences of current account deficit
Currency weakness - can put pressure on sterling to depreciate, can cause imports to be more expensive, contributes to inflationary pressures and falling real incomes
Slower economic growth - represents net outflow from circular flow of income - reduces AD and acts as a drag on short run GDP growth
Need to attract capital flow - it requires net capital/financial inflow to finance deficit, may cause central bank to raise interest rates
Conflict between current account imbalances and macro objectives
Economic growth comes from increase in consumption/spending leading to increase demand of imports resulting on decline in current account
Two types of causes for current account deficit
- cyclical causes
- structural causes
Cyclical causes
- overvalued exchange rate
- boom in domestic demand
- recession in key export industries
- slump in global prices of exports
- increased demand for imported technology
- increase in global energy/commodity prices (for net importers)
Structural causes
- under-investment
- relatively low productivity
- persistently high relative inflation
- inadequate R&D, innovation
- emergence of low-cost competition (emerging markets)
- increase in global energy/commodity prices (for net exporters)