macro- inflation and deflation Flashcards
define inflation
state of sustained increase of general price level in an economy
two types of inflation
Demand-pull inflation and Cost-push inflation
define cost-push inflation
when inflation arises due to issues in the supply-side of economy
= can occur due to the increased union power in wage bargaining process= increases supply costs
= usually causes short-run aggregate supply to shift to the left
= due to increased costs of production
= creating inflation
define demand-pull inflation
when inflation is caused by excessive aggregate demand
= means that aggregate demand is rapidly increasing, faster than the long-run aggregate supply of the economy
= creating inflation
ways to measure inflation
Retail price index (RPI) and the Consumer price index (CPI)
describe CPI
Currently, gov uses CPI= similar to RPI but doesn’t include mortgage interest repayments
- government records expenditures of the ‘national shopping basket’= consists of 700 or more goods people consume on daily basis
- calculated % change in price
- represented as an index number
define deflation
prices of goods and services in an economy are falling
= general fall in the price level in the economy
causes of demand-pull inflation
- increase in aggregate demand= prices of products and services will increase to stimulate firms to produce more output in response to growing demand
- positive output gap is another cause of demand-pull inflation= means that the growth rate of the economy is above the trend growth rate= leads to higher inflation
causes of cost-push inflation
-caused by the growing monopoly power of trade unions= as unions become more powerful they demand higher wages= raises cost of labour= raising costs of production for a firm
- can be caused by increased commodity or energy prices= raises the overall cost of production= causing the short-run aggregate supply to shift to the left
define stagflation
a period of slow economic growth, rising unemployment, and also rising inflation
What causes deflation
- shortages or falling of the money supply
- decrease in the velocity of money circulation
- fall in aggregate demand
- increase in productivity
effect of decrease aggregate demand
causes a fall in consumer confidence= a fall in spending= causes the general price level to fall= Firms may then react to this by decreasing wages to lower their costs of production= Lower wages will feed into lower households’ income= causing their demand to fall further= referred to as a deflation spiral
define deflation spiral
occurs when deflation affects the circular flow of income in a way that deflation in itself becomes a self-reinforcing loop
effect of increase in productivity
can be influenced by improvements in technology= reduce costs of production= causing the aggregate supply to shift to the left and lower the overall price level in the economy
adv of inflation on individuals
- Inflation is favourable for consumers that have loans= debt repayments stay at same level= makes them decrease in value= makes it easier for consumers to repay their debts
- workers can bargain income increas
disadv of inflation on individuals
- Decrease in consumers’ purchasing power due to the increased prices of goods and services
- Due to inflation, businesses have to pay higher wages to their employees= to reduce costs of labour, businesses may make cuts in employees by making them redundant
- High and unstable inflation affects agents’ expectation formation about future price levels= affects the economy in an unpredictable way
- erodes savings= interest rates don’t increase in line with inflation= less likely to be able to buy houses
- fiscal drag
adv of inflation on firms
- firms can encourage increase output= increase revenue
- improve gov finances
disadv of inflation on firms
- lower export competitiveness
- risk of wage price spiral= increase production costs
- inflationary noise= price signalling becomes less significant
consequences of deflation
- In long run, consumer spending declines= as prices are decreasing, consumers are likely to hold on to their savings, as in the future they believe that the costs of goods will be even lower
- consumer salaries will decrease simultaneously.
- decline in business productivity due to lower demand for consumer goods= results in an increase in unemployment as businesses won’t need to supply as many goods
- price mechanisms are disrupted= makes people confused about true value of products and services= affects their expectation formation about future price levels
- causes overall slowdown in economy