Long Run Economic Growth Flashcards
Explain the trend of UK productivity
- Been stagnant ever since the GFC
- Potential is 121 Vs Actual being 101
- Reasons include austerity, disincentive to work, confidence
- UK’s productivity puzzle is bad; a vicious cycle
What does the Solow Model aim to do?
- Explains why some countries are richer than others
- Evaluates causes of growth quantitatively
- Decomposition of GDP into FoP
- Shows that capital accumulation =/= growth
- Contrasts what previous thinkers thought
What is the relationship between capital and growth?
- Capital =/= growth
- If you know how to use capital, it can cause growth
What are some features of the macroeconomic model?
- Consumers: Represents households who supply labour and consume
- Firms: Represents businesses who use good factors of production to make goofs
- Equilibrium is the model outcome
What is the Firms production function?
- Excludes labour markets and financing
- Y = AKⁿ
- Y = Output
- A = Productivity
- K = Capital Stock
- ⁿ = The assumed amount of capital (around 0.3)
Give the equation for motion of Capital (CONTEMP VERSION)
- K’ = I + (1-δ)k
- K’ = Next Years Capital
- I = Investment
- δ = Depreciation rate
- k = This Years Capital
- For an increase in K’, you need I>(1-δ)
What is the Consumers Income function?
- Excludes unemployment and assumes perfect income
- Consumes a constraint fraction of GDP & own all the capital in an economy
- I = sY
- Consumers either save or spend, so:
- Y = C + I
How do you derive the main equation for Next Year’s capital?
- I = sY = sAKⁿ
- K’ = I + (1-δ)k
- K’ = sAKⁿ + (1-δ)k
What is the steady state point?
- The curve K’ = sAKⁿ + (1-δ)k meets the K’=K curve at a point
- This point means that K = constant
- This means that capital does not equal sustained economic growth (DMR)
Why does the curve display Diminishing Marginal Returns?
- The further a nation starts away from the steady-state level of capital (catch-up effect)
- They will grow quickly at first and then tail off
- South Korea and China in the 1990s-2000s
What is the Savings Ratio? What does the increase in s mean for the overall economy
- The savings ratio is the propensity of consumers to save their income
- If s increases, c falls, so AD falls and GDP falls too
- However, in the long run, I would increase, so GDP and AD would rise
- This causes the curve to shift upwards to a new steady state
What is the only way to provide long-term GDP growth?
- Savings rate increases the steady state level, but k will become constant again eventually
- Thus, only productivity gains can increase growth
- In the SR and LR, Productivity will increase GDP growth
Is there a correlation between savings rate and wealth?
- Weak positive correlation
- This means that countries are not rich because of savings
- Countries are rich due to capital stock stemming from productivity gains
How does productivity improve national GDP and capital stock?
- Human Capital and technology increases
- Better Institutions and facilities
- Greater Efficiency
What are some sources of growth?
- Savings (K/Y)
- Labour (L/N)
- Productivity (A)
- Human Capital (h)