Logic of Frequentist Statistics Flashcards
Null and alternative
-Comparison, what we are testing
-Null- no effect in the pop
-Alternative- there is an effect in the pop
Alpha
-0.05
-Sets numeric standard to compare to p-value
-Probability of rejecting H0 when its true
P-value
-Probability of the observed result, plus more extreme results, if H0 were true
-Decides if we fail to reject or reject H0
P-value interpretations
-If p-value < 0.05, effect is significant and reject H0
-If p-value > 0.05, effect is not significant and fail to reject H0
Sample size and p-value
Larger sample sizes give smaller p-values, so with more data is it more likely to find a significant effect
Effect size
Magnitude of an effect in a standardized unit
Cohen’s d
-Effect size
-d=0.8, mean of 5 is 0.8 SD away from mean of 10
Confidence intervals
-Plausible range of values based on theoretical samples that would have intervals that contain the parameter
-Wide intervals = more uncertainty
-Tight intervals = less uncertainty
Limitations of frequentist statistics
-Null is always quasi false
-Non-intuitive
-False confidence
Probability in frequentist statistics
Long run relative frequency of an event occurring beyond chance level