Litterman and Scheinkman three-factor Flashcards
What are the The Three Factors ?
- Level – Affects all maturities equally.
- Steepness (Slope) – Affects short-term rates more than long-term rates.
- Curvature – Affects mid-term rates relative to short- and long-term rates
What is the Level Factor?
This represents a parallel shift in the yield curve.
All interest rates, across all maturities, increase or decrease by the same amount.
Example: If the level factor increases by 50 basis points, short-, medium-, and long-term rates all rise by 50 bps.
✔️ Most important factor (explains majority of yield curve changes).
What is the Steepness (Slope) Factor?
This measures the difference between short-term and long-term interest rates.
If the yield curve steepens, short-term rates fall while long-term rates rise.
If the yield curve flattens, short-term rates rise while long-term rates fall.
A steepening yield curve usually happens when the central bank lowers short-term rates, expecting economic expansion.
What is the Curvature Factor?
Measures changes in medium-term rates relative to short- and long-term rates.
If the curvature factor increases, medium-term rates rise relative to short and long rates (the curve becomes more “humped”).
If the curvature factor decreases, medium-term rates fall relative to short and long rates.
✔️ Curvature changes are rare but relevant for bond traders managing yield curve risk.