Likelihood of War and Conflict Flashcards
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Is war inevitable?
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Yes
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What do realists stress that contributes to the likelihood of war?
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power politics
‘state egoism’ as it leads to conflict, disagreement and struggle between states
human nature
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What do classical realists believe causes war?
And what famous scholar proposes this point of view?
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human nature and the pursuit of power
Hans Morgenthau
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What do structural realists believe causes war?
What famous scholars propose this point of view?
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the anarchic nature of global politics and lack of world government
John Mearsheimer and Kenneth Waltz
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Why does John Mearsheimer believe the anarchic nature of international system causes war?
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- states will do everything in their power to be powerful in an anarchic system
- best way to live in an anarchic system as no one will try and harm you
- each state is responsible for ensuring its own well being and survival as they have no higher authority
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What do structural and classical realist both agree on?
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politics is essentially a struggle for power
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Do realists believe anarchy will lead to relentless conflict and unending war?
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No, but they are concerned with states’ natural tendency to concentrate too much power in one nation
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Do realists believe states will continue to concentration too much power into one nation and risk war?
What will emerge instead?
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No, this will not happen and a balance of power will emerge
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What is a balance of power?
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recognisation that in pursuit of national security, states enter into alliances that, if balanced against one another, may ensure prolonged periods of peace and international stability
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Why would a balance of power prevent recurrent war?
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rational states will hesitate to attack equally powerful opponents
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Do they believe a balance of power will always stop war?
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No, the international system is inherently dynamic and when the balance breaks down, war is probable
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Describe a defensive realist view of war and a scholar who is associated with it
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state is concerned with its own survival, so are security-maximising entities, so priority is avoiding war
there may not be war but there will be ‘ongoing and relentless tension’
Mastanduno
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Describe an offensive realist view of war and a scholar who is associated with it
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states seek to maximise power and take advantages of each other. they wish to accumulate more power than anyone else
deeply pessimistic view of international politics where threat of war is ever present
Mearsheimer
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What does the security dilemma do to the likelihood of war? And why?
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increases likelihood
- states may seek to increase their security and power, as a result they cause tensions
- leads to an arms race, growing hostility and likelihood of war
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Are realists proponents of war?
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No, they have often opposed war and aggressive foreign policy
They believe war should only ever be fought if it serves a vital national interested (e.g. cost-benefit analysis)
this lead to US realists opposing Vietnam War and ‘War on Terror’