Lecture 9: Paleoseismology Flashcards
Difference between body and surface waves
Body waves can travel through the earth’s interior, but surface waves can only move along the surface of the planet like ripples on water
Surface waves are associated with damage and destruction of EQ
P waves
Compressional waves
Push and pull
Particles move in the same direction that the waves are moving in
Can move through any medium
S waves
Move particles up and down, perpendicular to the direction the wave is travelling
Can only move through solid rock
Love wave
Produce horizontal motion in the crust
Rayleigh waves
Rolls along the ground, like a wave in the ocean
Ground moves up and down and side to side
This is most of the shaking felt from an EQ
Common EQ magnitude scales (4)
1) Local magnitude (ML or ML), “Richter magnitude”
2) Surface-wave magnitude (Ms)
3) Body-wave magnitude (Mb)
4) Moment magnitude (Mw)
Seismic moment
Measure of the size of an earthquake based on the area of fault rupture, the average amount of slip, and the force that was required to overcome the friction sticking the rocks together that were offset by faulting.
(Calculated precisely from seismograph data)
Formula for seismic moment
Moment: shear modulus x area of rupture x average displacement during rupture
Focal mechanisms
Direction of slope in an earthquake and the orientation of the fault on which it occurs
Relationship between fault length and magnitude of surface waves
Larger the fault length, higher the magnitude
Cascadia subduction zone
Juan de Fuca plate subducts underneath North American plate
Between EQ, the two plates stick together, causing strain to build up
Sometime in the future, plates will unlock and generate a huge subduction EQ
Last one occurred in 1700, and they occur between 300-800years
Can predict the movement of plates, depts of subducting plate, and magnitude when plates slip - cannot predict when
What about EQ can we predict? (4)
1) Location (particularly locked areas on fault plane with high stress)
2) Moment magnitude (based on time and displacement if not lockd)
3) Depth (based on type of fault system)
4) Intensity of damage using Mercali scale
Can you predict when an EQ will occur?
Very difficult
Use statistical, geodynamics and chaos models, and precursor events
What tools do we use to try to predict when an EQ will occur? (6)
1) Changes in patterns and frequencies of EQ
2) Seismic gaps (locked zones)
3) Increase in radon gas concentration and other gases, emitted as precursors
4) Animal behaviour
5) Shoreline subsidence precursor (foraminifera)
6) Numerical models
NONE ARE RELIABLE
Kelis Borok model
Current best model for prediction of EQ
Not completely reliable, but predicts when