Lecture 2: Natural Hazard Concepts Flashcards
Natural disaster
An extreme event triggered by destructive forces occurring in nature that causes significant disruption to society
Rapid process, limited areal extent
People are unprepared
Includes EQ, forest fires, droughts
Natural catastrophe
Has more global implications, go across national borders, countries and oceans are effected
2004 Indonesian Tsunami
Natural hazard
Any natural process that threatens human life or property
Not directly anthropogenic (shouldn’t have started by an individual)
Process itself is not a hazard, only if threatening
Types of hazards (2)
- Catastrophic hazard
2. Hazardous conditions
Catastrophic hazard
Sudden onset
Occur without much warning
Loss of life, damage to property
Hazardous conditions
Occur slowly
Not necessarily with loss of life
Property damage and long-term health issues (ie. asbestos, radon)
Vulnerable
Exposure to being harmed or damaged
Risk
Product of the probability of a hazardous process and its possible consequences (death, injury, damage)
risk = vulnerability x hazard probability
Acceptable risk
Level of risk that can be tolerated before action is needed to reduce exposure to the process
Hazard assessment
Evaluation of the possibility and/or probability that a threatening process can or will occur
Numerical and physical models
Does not attempt to quantify risk
Risk analysis
Evaluation of the probability of a hazardous process and its possible consequences (the vulnerabilities: death, injury, $ damage)
Geological hazards
Volcanoes, geomagnetism, seismicity, tsunamis, , floods, landslides
Climatological hazards
Hurricanes, tornadoes and blizzards, snow avalanches
Multiple condition hazards
Floods, landslides
Extraterrestrial hazards
Impacts
Top three global deadliest disasters
- Flooding
- Storm
- Drought, wildfire, heatwave
Top three deadliest disasters in history
- Cyclone in Bangladesh, 300 000, 1970
- Earthquake in China, 255 000, 1976
- Earthquake and tsunami in Indonesia, 245 000, 2004
Yellow River Flood
In China
1887: 2M lives
1931: 4M
1938: 0.9M
Exaggeration of total damage/fatalities
Accelerates the rate of aid
Increase the amount of money (insurance)
OR underestimates, for political reasons
Top 5 Canada-US deadliest hazards
- Severe weather (heat, freezing rain)
- Tornado
- Lightning
- Flood
- Hurricane
Top 3 most deadly natural disasters in Canada
- Newfoundland Hurricane of 1775
- 1700 Cascadia EQ
- Tseax Cone eruption
Top 3 global most costly disasters
- Hurricane Katrina
- Earthquake, tsunami, Japan
- Hurricane Sandy
Top 3 more costly disasters in Canada
- Fire, Alberta, 2016, 3.58B
- Ice Storm, St Bruno Quebec, 1998, 2.18B
- Wind, thunderstorm in Southern Alberta, 1.88B
What factors control damage?
Population, population density, infrastructure, building codes, magnitude of hazard, intensity of hazard, style of hazard
Summary of deaths a costs
- More deaths in densely populated regions
- More costs in developed regions
- Globally, floods, EQ and hurricanes are most deadly (but not for NA)
- Increasing trend in number of deaths and amount of damage