Lecture 9: Chronic Disease Epidemiology Flashcards
what is the primary focus for epidemiology?
Populations - how we study disease phenomenon to improve the health of a population
mortality patterns in the last century
- beginning of the 20th century, many cause of mortality was due to infectious diseases from factors such as human settlement and colonization
- decrease in infectious diseases due to improved sanitation, housing, nutrition, antibiotics, and immunizations
- increase in chronic disease in the last few decades due to overconsumption
- in 2030, we are about to see a 27% increase in chronic diseases
Most common types of chronic disease
- heart disease
- cancer
- chronic lung disease
- stroke
- Alzheimer’s disease
- diabetes
- chronic kidney disease
multi-morbidity
an individual is living with multiple conditions
Chronic Disease in Canada
44% of adults 20+ have at least 1 of these 10 common conditions:
Hypertension
Osteoarthritis
Mood and anxiety disorders
Osteoporosis
Cancer
Asthma
Diabetes
Ischemic heart disease
COPD
Dementia
Chronic Disease in Ontario
74.2% of deaths are from chronic disease. Within that, most are from cancer.
Reason for the trend from infectious to non-infectious diseases
advances in medicine, demography, and quality of life
How do we reduce disparities in chronic disease risk and burden?
look at the upstream factors which are those that are beyond the control of the individual.
Population health
aims to improve the health of the overall population and reduce disparities
Health Impact Pyramid
- Counseling and education
- Clinical interventions
- long-lasting protection interventions
- changing the context to make healthy decisions the default
- socioeconomic factors
Types of preventions
primordial, primary, secondary, tertiary
Phases of each of the preventions
primordial - underlying economic, social, and environmental conditions
primary - specific causal factors
secondary - early stages of disease
tertiary - late stage of disease
Primordial prevention
to avoid the emergence and establishment of the social, economic, and cultural patters of living that increase the risk of disease
primary prevention
limit the incidence of disease by controlling specific causes and risk factors
secondary prevention
reduce the more serious consequences of disease through early diagnosis and treatment
tertiary prevention
reduce the number and/or impact of complications
demographic transition
model to explain that population growth has been exponential and is looking to keep growing
explanation for the demographic transition
decrease in mortality rate
decrease in fertility rate (birth rate)
increase in population size
increase in age population
The 5 stages to the demographic transition
Stage 1:
high birth and death rate
natural increase: stable or slow increase
Stage 2:
high birth rate
death rate rapidly drops
natural increase: very rapid increase
Stage 3:
dropping birth rate
death rate drops slowly
natural increase: increase slows down
Stage 4:
low birth and death rate
natural increase: falling and then stable
Stage 5:
birth rate rising and low death rate
natural increase: stable or slow increase
Epidemiologic Transition
experienced high infectious disease and low non-communicable disease to low infectious disease to high non-communicable disease. Infectious diseases are lower than NCD now
Abdel Omran
- 1971, posited his theory of epidemiologic transition
- a stage of development characterized by a shift in population growth, life expectancy, and disease patterns
Stage 1: Pestilence and Famine
- first stage of the epidemiologic transition
- infectious and parasite disease were the main cause of death
- also accidents and attacks by animals and other humans
- Thomas Malthus called these deaths “natural checks”
- The Black Plague was the most violent stage 1 epidemic
Stage 2: Receding Pandemics
- improved sanitation, nutrition, and medicine during the industrial revolution reduced the spread of infectious diseases
- death rates did not improve universally or immediately though
- poor people who were crowded in industrial cities had high death rates from cholera
Stage 3: Degenerative disease
- chronic disease of aging
- physical and mental illness