Lecture 5 Flashcards
experiment
act or process of observation that leads to a single outcome that cannot be predicted with certainty
sample point
most basic outcome of an experiment
sample space (universal set)
collection of all the experimental elements
probability rules
let xi, i=1,2,3….k, denote a possible outcome for the random variable X, and let P(X=xi)=pi denote the probability of that outcome. Then: 0< P(xi)<1 and the sum of all of probabilities =1 (each probability falls between 0 and 1 inclusive and the total probability must equal 1
event
is a specific collection of sample points
probability of an event
calculated by summing the probabilities of the sample points in the sample space for A
Steps for calculating probabilities of events
- define the experiment; describe the process used to make an observation and type of observation that will be recorded
- List the sample points
- Assign probabilities to the sample points
- determine the collection of sample points contained in the event of interest
- sum the sample point probabilities to get the probability of the event
combination rule
a sample of n elements is to be drawn from a set of N elements. Then, the number of different samples possible is denoted by (N n) and is equal to: N!/(n!)(N-n)!
where the factorial symbol ! means that n!= (1)(2)(3)…(n-1)(n)
union of two events A and B
the union of two events A and B, denoted by A U B, is the set of all elements that are in A OR in B OR in both
Intersection of two events A and B
the intersection, denoted by A (backwards U) B, is the set of all elements that are in A AND in B
complement
when the event does NOT occur- that is, the event consisting of all sample points that are not in the event. We denote the complement of A by Ac.
rule of complements
the sum of the probabilities of complementary events equals 1; P(A) +P(Ac)=1
additive rule of probability
the probability of the union of events A and B is the sum of the probability of event A and the probability of event B minus the probability of the intersection of events A and B; P(AUB)=P(A) +P(B) -P( A backwards U B)
mutually exclusive events
two events A and B are said to be mutually exclusive events if A backwards U B contains no sample points, that is A and B have no sample points in common
probability of two mutually exclusive events
if two events A and B are said to be mutually exclusive then, P(AUB)= P(A) + P(B) ( P(A backwards U B) =0)