Lecture 3 Flashcards
What are the different epidemiological measures (as mentioned in class)?
- count
- ratio
- -proportion
- –prevalence
- —point prevalence
- —period prevalence
- -rate (crude, adjusted, specific)
- –incidence rate(attack rate)
Prevalence
- measures the burden of disease in a population
- can be a snapshot of one point in time(point prevalence) or can be a period of time(period prevalence)
- proportion of existing cases/ total population at risk
- note: prevalence is not a rate
Prevalence formula
number of new and existing cases/total population at risk during a given time
cumulative incidence
places individual with outcome in the numerator and places those who outcome in the denominator
-underestimates risk because ppl who drop out of get counted as people who didn’t develop disease(didn’t follow up so we don’t know that for sure)
How is mortality measured?
- annual mortality rate
- cause-specific death rate
- proportionate mortality
- case-fatality rate
annual mortality rate
(total number of deaths from all causes in 1 year/ midyear population)*1000
cause-specific death rate
total number of deaths from cause A during specified period of time/population at midpoint of time interval)*1000
proportionate mortality
(total number of deaths from cause A/ total number of death for all causes) *100
case-fatality
(number of deaths from a specific disease/condition/total number of persons with disease)
-measures severity of disease
When does mortality help us determine incidence?
mortality helps us determine incidence only when :
- case fatality rate is high
- duration of disease is short
direct age adjustment
use of standard population to standardize/get rid of differences in age between populations being compared
-goal is to make distributions the same for risk factors (ex.age,sex…)
indirect age adjustment
use when numbers of deaths for each age-specific stratum is not available
- used to compare mortality or morbidity experience of persons in certain subgroup to a general population
- calculate SMR
SMR
standardized mortality rate
(observed # of deaths/ expected # of deaths per year)*100
How do I interpret SMR?
SMR=100 : observed # of deaths = expected # of deaths
SMR>100: observed # of deaths > expected # of deaths
SMR< 100: observed # of deaths < expected # of deaths
Conclusions: based on the observed number of deaths, we can conclude that comparison population has more, less or equal the amount of deaths compared to the expected population
How does prevalence relate to incidence and duration?
Based on this relationship, how can we change prevalence?
prevalence = incidence * duration increase prevalence: -long term disease with slow death rates -increase in incidence decrease prevalence: -increase number of deaths from disease/outcome -rapid cures -decrease in incidence