lecture 3 Flashcards
when are statistics needed in clinical experience
to quantify differences that are too small to recognize through clinical experience alone
what is the result when comparing the mean between 2 samples from the same population
they should have fairly similar means
what does it mean if the means from two samples are statistically different
likely to be drawn from 2 different populations, ie
they really are different
what does hypothesis testing involve
(3 steps)
Making an initial assumption;
Collecting evidence (data);
Based on available evidence (data), decide whether or not to reject the initial assumption.
EVERY hypothesis test includes these
what is the assumption made in statistics
always assume the null hypothesis is true/ null hypothesis is the initial hypothesis
what is the null hypothesis
H0. : the absence of a difference or an effect.
- no effect
- rejected if significance tests shows data doesn’t match H0
what is the alternative hypothesis
H’, H1, or HA.: the complement(equal opp) of the null hypothesis.
relate the clinical trial analgoy to statistics
In statistics, the data are the evidence.
if suff evidence exists beyond reasonable doubt the jury rejects H0 and deems the
defendant guilty.
If there is insufficient evidence, then the jury does not
reject H0.
making the decision reduces to
determining “likely” or “unlikely.”
what are the two ways to determine whether the evidence is likely or unlikley regarding the initial assumtption
- “critical value approach”- old textbooks
- “p-value approach”-research, journal articles, and
statistical software
define probability
A measure of the likelihood that a particular event
will happen.
- shown as a value between 0 and 1.
- the acc measurement is the rate in a group not just an event
- larger the p the more likley the event.
*
what is the conventional cut off point
if p is greater than 0.05 then the null hypothesis is greater as the result should only occur less than 5 times out of every 100 by chance
0.05 is completely arbitrary
what is p-value/statistical significance of a result
an estimate of the degree to which a result is true
probability of getting an e_vent at least as extreme_ as your result if the null hypothesis is true
What is power
probability of rejecting the null hypothesis.
- probability that youreject the null hypothesis when you should
(and thus avoid a Type II error). - varies according to underlying truth e.g. the actual difference betw/ pop means
- power increases with increased diff betw/ pop means
what is a type one
Rejecting the null hypothesis, when it is true
aka: α (alpha) which is also the power of the test when H0 is true
what is a type 2 error
occurs when we fail to reject the H0 when it is false.
probabilty of type 2 error is known as β (beta).
power is 1-β when H0 is false