LECTURE 16: measuring disease occurrence Flashcards

1
Q

why measure disease occurrence in populations?

A
  1. health status
  2. impact among different groups
  3. trends over time
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2
Q

what are the 2 measures of occurrence

A
  1. prevalence

2. incidence

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3
Q

2 types of incidence

A
  1. incidence proportion

2. incidence rate

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4
Q

what is prevalence

A

the proportion of a population who HAVE the disease at a point in time

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5
Q

how to calculate prevalence

A

number of people with the disease at a given point in time / total number of people in the population at that point in time

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6
Q

reporting of prevalence

A
measure of occurrence
exposure or outcome
population
time point
value
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7
Q

prevalence limitations

A
  1. difficult to assess the development of disease

2. is influenced by the duration of the disease

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8
Q

what is incidence

A

the occurrence of new cases of an outcome in a population during a specific period of follow-up

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9
Q

what is the key difference between IP and IR

A

what we use as the denominator

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10
Q

what is incidence proportion

A

The proportion of an outcome-free population that develops the
outcome of interest in a specified time period

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11
Q

how to calculate incidence proportion

A

number of people who develop the disease in a specific period (new cases) / number of people at risk of developing the disease at the start of the period

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12
Q

Why might people not be considered ‘at risk’ at the start of a study?

A
  • They already have the condition

- The condition is something that they cannot develop

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13
Q

incidence proportion limitations

A
  • Assumes a ‘closed’ population (does not account for people coming or going)
  • Highly dependent on the time period (longer time period = higher incidence proportion)
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14
Q

what is incidence rate

A

The rate at which new cases of the outcome of

interest occur in a population

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15
Q

incidence rate calculation

A

Number of people who develop the disease in a specified period / Number of person-years at risk of developing the disease

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16
Q

why might someone stop being ‘at risk’?

A
  • They become a case
  • They are lost to follow-up
    (e. g. die, move away, no longer take part)
  • Follow-up time ends
17
Q

how to go from person-months to person-years

A

divide by 12

18
Q

incidence rate reporting

A

measure of occurrence
outcome
population
value

19
Q

incidence rate limitations

A
  1. person-time no available

2. complex to calculate

20
Q

what does prevalence approximate?

A

incidence x average disease duration

21
Q

changes to incidence and duration can affect…

A

disease prevalence

22
Q

comparing populations

A
  1. Do the age structures differ?

2. Does the disease risk vary by age?

23
Q

2 aspects as to when we use age standardisation

A

age structures differ and disease risk varies by age