Lecture 1 Flashcards
Strategic asset allocation
Determines the long-term asset allocation by deciding on:
Investment objective, universe and restrictions
Long-term risks & correlation
Tactical Asset Allocation
How to deviate from SAA: Betw. or within asset classes?
How to manage risk and return?
Process of asset allocation
1: Consider clientele and environment
2: SAA
3: TAA
4: Implementation
5: Performance analysis
Problems of active management:
Relies on having superior information to create alpha –> efficient market hypothesis
–> Profits have to cover fees
Efficient market hypothesis
New information is unpredictable
Stock prices change in response to new information –> random walk
Weak EMH
Semi-strong EMH
Strong EMH
Tech. analysis – Momentum, Correlation
fundamental analysis – Event studies
Insider information – Forbidden by SEC
Issues with EMH
Magnitude Issue: Large Portfolios make enough profit at small misspricings (but in and out?)
Selection Bias: Good schemes remain private
Lucky events?
Anomalies: P/E Effect, Small firm effect, liquidity effect, post earnings
Resource Allocation Problem
If markets were inefficient, resources would be systematically misallocated
Reasons for portfolio management
Diversification, Risk Management, Tax considerations