LEC.185 Natural Hazards Flashcards
Which are the 2 most commonly occurring natural disaster types?
Floods and storms
What is the CRED definition of a natural disaster?
10+ people reported killed OR 100+ people reported affected OR call for international assistance OR declaration of a state of emergency
What are 5 reasons why number of killed has decreased but number of people affected and number of reported disasters has increased between 1900-2010?
- More public awareness + reporting (less deaths, more reports)
- Larger population so more people forced to live in hazardous areas
- More poverty + urbanisation so more people in poorly constructed shanty towns
- Proliferation of sensitive structures e.g. nuclear power plants (interaction between natural + technological hazards)
- Environmental degradation + climate change
Define risk
Probability that harmful effects will actually follow from a natural hazard
What is the risk equation?
Risk = hazard level x exposure x vulnerability
What is the difference between weather and climate?
Weather = Short term changes in atmosphere
Climate = Long term average of weather conditions
Define heatwave
Period of abnormally hot weather with respect to some threshold value (but there is no universally adopted definition because of varied preparedness)
Define heat index
Measure of ‘how it feels’ or the ‘apparent’ temperature + factors in relative humidity
What are 4 reasons why the perception of heat may differ between different regions?
- Meteorological factors (e.g. wind speed, relative humidity)
- Differences in body composition/shape
- Metabolic differences
- Levels of hydration
Why does higher relative humidity make heat feel hotter?
Less perspiration evaporates in humid conditions
What conditions are needed to be met for a UK heatwave?
When a location records a period of 3+ consecutive days with a daily max. temp. higher or equal to the heatwave temp. threshold (derived from distribution of July max. temps. seen over a 30-year reference period)
What does air pressure arise from?
Weight of the atmosphere (larger closer to Earth’s surface and decreases with increasing altitude)
What are horizontal pressure gradients smaller than and why are they important?
Smaller relative to vertical pressure gradients but are important as drive winds
What do isobars join?
Areas of equal pressure (closer spacing denotes stronger pressure gradient + increased wind speeds)
What is an alternative name for high pressure systems and what do they involve?
Anticyclones, involve air descending, forming a high pressure area at the surface
What is an alternative name for low pressure systems and what do they involve?
Depressions, involve air ascending, forming a low pressure area at the surface
Define heat dome
Descending air in a persistent high pressure system with stagnant conditions and light winds which traps heat close to surface
Define urban heat island
Region where tarmac/stone absorbs + stores heat during daytime + emits heat at night
What are 6 reasons why the intensity, duration, frequency, and areal extent of heatwaves is important?
- Heat-related illness/death
- Pressure on services
- Water/energy demand
- Critical infrastructure impacts
- Ecological impacts (droughts/forest fires)
- Co-occurrence of heatwaves + air pollution episodes
What are 4 ways of mitigating heatwaves?
- Heat-health alert systems (5 alert levels in UK)
- Increased healthcare capacity
- Address urban heat islands
- Protect critical agriculture + vulnerable groups
Which direction do hurricanes rotate in in the Northern/ Southern hemispheres and what is the cause of this?
Northern: Anti-clockwise
Southern: Clockwise
Coriolis force
What is the difference between a hurricane/cylcone/typhoon and a tropical storm?
Hurricane: Sustained wind speeds > 74mph
Tropical storm: Sustained wind speeds < 74mph but > 39mph
Define tropical storm and hurricane
Tropical storm = Low pressure weather system with high winds + heavy rainfall
Hurricane = Severe tropical storm characterised by a rotating organised system of clouds + a warm ‘core’
Which regions call hurricanes ‘typhoons’ and ‘cyclones’?
Typhoons: SE Asia
Cyclones: Australia + Indian Ocean
When is hurricane ‘season’ in the N.Atlantic basin, when is peak activity, where do these hurricanes form, and which direction do they travel?
June-November, September, coast of Africa, steered East by trade winds
What 6 things does hurricane formation require?
- Low pressure zone (inward converging winds)
- Warm oceans (>27°C)
- High relative humidity
- Atmospheric instability
- Location > 5° from equator (sufficient Coriolis force)
- Low vertical wind shear (change in wind speed with height)
Describe the 8-step formation process of a hurricane (positive feedback loop)
- Wind blows over warm ocean
- Sucks up heat + water vapour
- Warm, moist air rises
- Water vapour condenses to form clouds
- Condensation releases latent heat
- Causes air to expand + rise further
- Decreases air pressure at surface
- Increases wind speed
(Wind blows over warm ocean)
What is important to differentiate between within a hurricane?
Rotation wind speed and forward propagation wind speed
What are the 3 structures of a hurricane?
- The ‘eye’ - central innermost area with calm, clear skies, low air pressure/wind speed/rainfall, and dry air descending
- The ‘eyewall’ - dense thunderstorms, rainfall/wind speeds at maximum
- Outer rainbands - zones of intense cloud/rainfall extending from eye, wind speeds decrease + pressure increases towards storm edge
Define hurricane wind velocity and how is this measured?
Speed of rotating winds, measured using Saffir-Simpson scale (categories 1-5)
Define storm centre velocity
Speed of entire storm (typically 15-20mph), affected by atmospheric flows that steer storm system, can exceed 60mph particularly at high latitudes
When is hurricane intensity at its strongest?
When storm centre velocity + hurricane wind velocity are in the same direction
What are 6 consequent hazards of hurricanes?
- Extreme wind speeds
- Storm surges
- Torrential rain/flooding/mudslides (slower-moving, larger storms produce most rainfall)
- Rip currents
- Tornadoes
- Death from other factors e.g. disease
Define storm surge
Change in sea level caused by high winds + low pressure
How will climate change affect hurricanes?
No evidence for increased hurricane frequency but strong evidence for increased hurricane intensity, increased storm surges, more rain as more water vapour in atmosphere, potentially changed path of tropical cyclones
How are hurricanes detected?
Satellite images, observations fed into statistical models to predict path, landfall, + height of storm surge –> issue ‘Hurricane Watch’ alert (72-hour forecast has margin of error of ~160km but 24-hour forecast has margin of error of 65km)
What are 3 types of wind/storm surge defences?
- Natural defences e.g. wide beaches, high dunes, mangroves
- Artificial defences e.g. concrete shelters, sea walls, levees
- Building regulations e.g. rounded walls/pitched roofs to promote wind flow around structure, anchor bolts between foundations/walls/roofs
When does a funnel cloud become a tornado?
When it reaches the ground (can sometimes form multiple tornadoes)
Why are tornadoes often visible?
Has a condensation funnel in which dust/debris is picked up + rotated
Define waterspouts
Tornadoes that are formed over water (generally weaker)
What is a key step of tornado formation?
Mesocyclone formation with a parent thunderstorm (‘supercell’ thunderstorms)
How do thunderstorms form?
When warm, moist air rises rapidly (instability from warm air below cold air) –> warm air cools + condensation occurs, resulting in cumulonimbus clouds with strong updrafts
What are examples of specific conditions that need to be met for severe thunderstorms to form?
Significant vertical wind shear + large instability
Which is the only continent where tornadoes haven’t been observed and where do most tornadoes form?
Antarctica, mid-latitudes (in contrast to hurricanes in tropics)
When is tornado season in ‘Tornado Alley’?
Spring to early summer
Why does Tornado Alley get so many tornadoes?
Has the key ingredients for supercell thunderstorms (low level winds bring warm, moist air from S.E and high level winds bring cool, dry air from Rocky Mountains)
In which direction do tornadoes rotate in the northern hemisphere?
Anti-clockwise
What is the Fujita scale based on and what is the scale?
Based on tornado-inflicted damage to human-built structures/vegetation + assigned wind speed, EF 0-5
What 3 things are used to assimilate data for tornado detection?
- Spotters (look for characteristic cloud formations e.g. mammatus clouds)
- Satellites (visible, infrared, moisture)
- Doppler radar
Describe how doppler radar is used to assimilate data for tornado detection?
Emits radio waves from transmitter –> pulse strikes an object e.g. raindrop + waves scattered –> some scattered energy directed back to radar –> computer algorithms determine strength of returned signal, time taken to travel to object and back, + frequency shift of pulse (changes depending on object motion + can be used to calculate speed of object towards/away from radar)
Define biohazard
Hazard caused by exposure to living organisms + their toxic substances or vector-borne diseases carried by living organisms
What must a biohazard do in order to become a natural hazard?
Must greatly exceed human expectation in terms of magnitude/frequency, causing human hardship or a negative economic impact
What % of global deaths is accounted for by infectious diseases (human hardship endpoint for many biohazards is human disease)?
> 25% (likely to increase under future climate scenarios)
What are the 3 types of biohazard?
- Microorganisms (airborne/blood/body fluid borne/vector borne/food borne/zoonotic/water borne)
- Biohazards that indirectly impact human society (infectious diseases in animals/fungal diseases affecting plants/insect infestation affecting crop production)
- Others (deadly nightshade/parasites/animal attacks)
What are the 3 types of disease classification?
- Endemic (always present)
- Epidemic
- Pandemic
What % of known diseases are zoonotic?
60%
What are the 4 types of biohazard mitigation?
- Surveillance + data (challenging for new diseases, potential political interference)
- Disease prevention (vaccines, limited availability)
- Treatment (of clinical symptoms, limited by public health infrastructure)
- Education
What are 2 key biohazards that are transmitted through water and are of significant concern?
- Cholera (intestines infection, bacterial, diarrhoea + dehydration, can lead to death if left untreated)
- Typhoid fever (bacterial, bacteria multiply in human blood/intestines)
What are many waterborne biohazards associated with?
The contamination of water be faecal matter e.g. E.coli