LBO Model - Basic Flashcards
Walk me through a basic LBO model.
In an LBO Model,
Step 1 is making assumptions about the Purchase Price, Debt/Equity ratio, Interest Rate on Debt and other variables; you might also assume something about the company’s operations, such as Revenue Growth or Margins, depending on how much information you have.
Step 2 is to create a Sources & Uses section, which shows how you finance transaction and what you use the capital for; this also tells you how much Investor Equity is required.
Step 3 is to adjust the company’s Balance Sheet for the new Debt and Equity figures, and also add in Goodwill & Other Intangibles on the Assets side to make everything balance.
In Step 4, you project out the company’s Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement, and determine how much debt is paid off each year, based on the available Cash Flow and the required Interest Payment.
Finally, in Step 5, you make assumptions about the exit after several years, usually assuming an EBITDA Exit Multiple, and calculate the return based on how much equity is returned to the firm.
Why would you use leverage when buying a company?
To boost your return.
Remember, any debt you use in an LBO is not “your money” - so if you’re paying $5 billion for a company, it’s easier to earn a high return on $2 billion of your own money and $3 billion borrowed from elsewhere vs. $3 billion of your own money and $2 billion of borrowed money.
A secondary benefit is that the firm also has more capital available to purchase other companies because they’ve used leverage.
What variables impact an LBO model the most?
Purchase and exit multiples have the biggest impact on the returns of a model after that, the amount of leverage (debt) used also has a significant impact, followed by operational characteristics such as revenue growth and EBITDA margins.
How do you pick purchase multiples and exit multiples in an LBO model?
The same way you do it anywhere else: you look at what comparable companies are trading at, and what multiples similar LBO transactions have had. As always, you also show a range of purchase and exit multiples using sensitivity tables.
Sometimes you set purchase and exit multiples based on a specific IRR target that you’re trying to achieve - but this is just for valuation purposes if you’re using an LBO model to value the company.
What is an “ideal” candidate for an LBO?
“Ideal” candidates have stable and predictable cash flows, low-risk businesses, not much need for ongoing investments such as Capital Expenditures, as well as an opportunity for expense reductions to boos their margins. A strong management team aslo helps, as does a base of assets to use as collateral for debt.
The most important part is stable cash flow.
How do you use an LBO model to value a company, and why do we sometimes say that it sets the “floor valuation” for the company?
You use it to value a company by setting a targeted IRR (for example, 25%) and then back-solving in Excel to determine what purchase price the PE firm could pay to achieve that IRR.
This is sometimes called a “floor valuation” because PE firms almost always pay less for a company than strategic acquirers would.
Give an example of a “real-life” LBO.
The most common example is taking out a mortgage when you buy a house. Here’s how the analogy works:
- Down Payment: Investor Equity in an LBO
- Mortgage: Debt in an LBO
- Mortgage Interest Payments: Debt Interest in an LBO
- Mortgage Repayments: Debt Principal Repayments in an LBO
- Selling the House: Selling the Company / Taking It Public in an LBO
Can you explain how the Balance Sheet is adjusted in an LBO model?
First, the Liabilities & Equities side is adjusted - the new debt is added on, and the Shareholders’ Equity is “wiped out” and replaced by however much equity the priate equity firm is contributing.
On the Assets side, Cash is adjusted for any cash used to finance the transaction, and then Goodwill & Other Intangibles are used as a “plug” to make the Balance Sheet balance.
Depending on the transaction, there could be other effects as well - such as capitalized financing fees added to the Assets side.
Why are Goodwill & Other Intangibles created in an LBO?
Remember, these both represent the premium paid to the “fair market value” of the company. In an LBO, they act as a “plug” and ensure that the changes to the Liabilities & Equity side are balanced by changes to the Assets side.
We saw that a strategic acquirer will usually prefer to pay for another company in cash - if that’s the case, why would a PE firm want to use debt in an LBO?
It’s a different scenario because:
- The PE firm does not intend to hold the company for the long-term - it usually sells it after a few years, so it is less concerned with the “expense” of cash vs. debt and more concerned about using leverage to boost its returns by reduicng the amount of capital it has to contribute upfront.
- In an LBO, the debt is “owned” by the company, so they assume much of the risk. Whereas in a strategic acquisition, the buyer “owns” the debt so it is more risky for them.
Do you need to project all 3 statements in an LBO model? Are there any “shortcuts”?
Yes, there are shortcuts and you dont necessarily need to project all 3 statements.
For example, you do not need to create a full Balance Sheet - bankers sometimes skip this if they are in a rush. You do need some form of Income Statement, something to track how the Debt balances change and some type of Cash Flow Statement to show how much cash is available to repay debt.
But a full-blown Balance Sheet is not strictly required, because you can just make assumptions on the Net Change in Working Capital rather than looking at each item individually.
How would you determine how much debt can be raised in an LBO and how many tranches there would be?
Usually you would look at Coparable LBOs and see the terms of the debt and how many tranches each of them used. You would look at companies in a similar size range and industry and use those criteria to determine the debt your company can raise.
Let’s say we’re analyzing how much debt a company can take on, and what the terms of the debt should be. What are reasonable leverage and coverage ratios?
This is completely dependent on the company, the industry, and the leverage and coverage ratios for comparable LBO transactions.
To figure out the numbers, you would look at “debt comps” showing the types, tranches, and terms of debt that similarly sized companies in the industry have used recently.
There are some general rules: for example, you would never lever a company at 50x EBITDA, and even during the bubble leverage rarely exceeded 5-10x EBITDA.
What is the difference between bank debt and high-yield debt?
This is a simplification, but broadly speaking there are 2 “types” of debt: “bank debt” and “high-yield debt.” There are many differences, but here are a few of the most important ones:
- High-yield debt tends to have higher interest rates than bank debt (hence the name “high-yield”).
- High-yield debt interest rates are usually fixed, whereas bank debt interest rates are “floating” - they change based on LIBOR or the Fed interest rate.
- High-yield debt has incurrence covenants while bank debt has maintenance covenants. The main difference is that incurrence convenants prevent you from doing something (such as selling an asset, buying a factory, etc.) while maintenance covenants require you to maintain a minimum financial performance (for example, the Debt/EBITDA ratio must be below 5x at all times)
- Bank debt is usually amortized - the principal must be paid off over time - whereas with high-yield debt, the entire principal is due at the end (bullet maturity)
Usually in a sizable Leverage Buyout, the PE firm uses both types of debt.
Again, there are many different types of debt - this is a simplification, but its enough for entry-level interviews.
Why might you use bank debt rahter than high-yield debt in an LBO?
If the PE firm or the company is ocncerned about meeting interest payments and wants a lower-cost option, they might use bank debt; they might also use bank debt if they are planning on major expansion or Capital Expenditures and don’t want to be restricted by incurrence convenants.
