L6 - Aggregate Expenditure and The Multiplier Flashcards
What is needed to use the Equilibrium Income model/diagram? (CAUSING SHIFTS)
Needs to be disturbed from its equilibrium by an exogenous (outside economy/not affected by income) shock
SHOCK DISPLAYED IN NOTES
What is the Multiplier Effect?
Denoted by: K= 1/(1-b)
Where a fall in investment has a magnified impact of the fall in output.
Slopes of the AE lines just the MPC.
SHOWN IN DIAGRAM
What does the Government sector consist of?
Consists of…
- Exogenous govt spending (G)
- Endogenous tax revenues
(T)
Addition of Govt sector means can now consider role of fiscal policy
What is G assumed to be given by?
Exogenously given by the need to fund public services such as defence the police etc. which are essentially political rather than economic decisions
What are Net Tax Revenues defined?
Tax revenues less transfer payments made. Since tax revenues always exceed transfer payments net taxes, or taxes, are always positive
What is the Tax Function?
T= t0 + tY
Where:
t= MPT
t0= Autonomous Tax (Not related to income)
So,
Govt budget deficit: G-T= G-t0+tY
Govt Surplus: T-G= t0+tY-G
DIAGRAM ON NOTES
What can Fiscal Policy defined as?
Defined as the DISCRETIONARY use of changes in G or T to affect the level of output.
DISCRETIONARY important because budget itself only partly exogenous
What is Consumption with Govt sector added denoted as?
C=a+b(Y-T)
What is Tax Revenue denoted as?
T=t0 + tY
EFFECT OF INCOME TAX RAISE
What is Equilibrium Income by substituting Tax Revenue?
Y= (a-bt0)+b(1-t)Y+I+G
Y=(a-bt0+I+G)/(1-b(1-t))
What is the Multiplier including Govt Spending?
Kg=1/(1-b(1-t))
What is Keynes advice on Fiscal Policy?
recommended increases in G when the economy was stuck in a recession
As the budget deficit (G - T) gets larger aggregate expenditure increases, which boosts output and employment
What are the Limitations of Fiscal Policy?
Time lags: inside lags (recognition lag +decision lag) and the outside lag – means swift policy changes are rarely possible
Forecasting accuracy is important, but impossible
Public investment is irreversible – once you have started to build a hospital it makes no sense not to finish it!
Financing issues: if the budget deficit is already large – as in 2008 – is it sensible to increase it further? Depends on size of country and financing history
What are some statistics about European Economies budgets?
2013: UK budget deficit 6% Greece 12% Slovenia 14% Germany Budget Balance
ALL OTHER GRAPHS ON NOTES
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