L3 - environ on dis Flashcards
predict how disease will develop under a particular set of conditions - make ……. predictions by two ways?
Quantitative predictions
- by research - evaluate understand increase management strategies
- practical - recommendations for control max effectivness, less cost + eniron impact
environmental modelling approaches are
ETAS
- empirial/descriptive
simple approach/correlation/regression know amount of incolulum + environmental conditions - theoretical analysis + synthesis
syn - examine how weather effects each stage of the infection cycle
Phytophthora infestans has been desribed by synthetic model
T has what effect on ? formation
Lesion formations op when?
T has what effect on sporangia formation
T<18 - indirect germ - for 6-8 zoospores
T>18 - direct - germ tube
model says indirect leads to more infections
20-25 degrees
Phytophthora infestans infection depends on
leaf wetness
T
Disease resistance
blight proportion
criteria for dis severity + impact
- days till 50% infected
- final disease severity
- apparent basic infection rate, r
- AUDPC
can use synthesis model for growers to
indentify most susceptible and most resistant cultivars
Yield Loss Modelling
yield loss proportional to AUDPC
can use to predict yield loss
where has yield loss modelling recently been carried out
Bassimba 2017
circular leaf spot caused by Mycosphaerella nawae monitored yield loss to understand severity and effectiveness of fungicide.