L26 Flashcards
Why does geological history matter? (6 reasons)
- It establishes the link between CO2 and temperature
- It provides context for the current climate crisis
- It allows the sensitivity of climate models to CO2 to be tested
- It demonstrates the central role of life in the Earth system
- It shows how Earths environment was radically different in the past
- It suggests how life adapts to major environmental challenges
Biological proxies of past temperature?
- Tree rings
- Macrofossils
Geochemical proxies of past temperature
- Benthic foraminifera that carry a sea temperature record in their shell isotopic record
- Gives rise to zacho oxygen isotope curve
Palaeo CO2 proxies
- Instrumental record for CO2 only goes back 70 years. Before that it needs to be inferred from proxies
Biological and geochemical
* Properties of plants / fossils that respond to CO2
* Using either density of stomata or isotopic property
* Assumptions have to be made about how co2 relates to property
CO2 and temperature are coupled over geological timescales
- Periods of uncoupling imply other mechanisms involved but generally they are coupled
- Myocene uncoupling is an area of research figuring how the earth system is behaving
It provides context for the current climate crisis
- Current temperatures are higher than they have been for at least one thousand years
- Often used in media to portray the current state of climate
- Geological record estimates have high uncertainty
- General pattern of cooling over time and CO2 reduction
Comparison with past climatic events
- paleocene - eocene thermal maximum (PETM) - 56 million years ago
- Massive injection of greenhouses gases into the atmosphere, doubled to tripled atmospheric CO2
- Rapid release but much slower than current emission release
Source uncertain:
* CO2 volcanism through coals?
* CH4 from oceans or permafrost?
Impacts of past climate change
- Origin of carbon may have been biological eg volcanism
- Led to a 5c excursion in temperature
- Short lived but on a geological timescale
- Crash in abundance and diversity of dinoflagellates (marine phytoplankton)
It allows the sensitivity of climate models to CO2 to be tested
The climate system is not in equilibrium, how much warming is in the pipeline?
Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) may be inferred using past climates
- Compare temperatures of the last glacial maximum with the holocene using oceanic isotopic proxies
- Calculate an ECS value of 3.4c for a doubling of CO2
Past climates are increasingly used as analogs for future windows
- As climate change progresses we go further back into the past climate
- Under various future climate emissions this essential pushes back into past climates
- Often discussion of what type of climate we want to avoid that has happened previously on Earth
Equilibrium sea level rise during the Pliocene
-Rock record shows ~17 m sea level rise accompanying 2-3 oC temperature rise (compared with pre-industrial period)
-Implies almost complete loss of Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets
- Most sea level rise due to warming ocean expanding - Tipping cascade feedbacks by glaciers melting on land will further cause sea level rise as they are on land not in the sea - 2-3 temperature rise over rock record
It demonstrates the central role of life in the Earth system
- Life is a major player, not a passenger in the Earth system
- Life plays fundamental roles in the geological oxygen and carbon cycles, influencing atmospheric o2 and co2 on multi- million year timescales
Evolutionary innovations
- Major innovations in plant life have caused big changes in atmospheric oxygen and carbon dioxide
- These include photosynthesis, invasion of land by plants, lignin- degrading fungi
- Oxygen is somewhat an inverse pattern of CO2 rise
-Photosynthetic life is responsible for oxygenating the atmosphere
It shows how Earth’s environment was radically different in the past
- Past worlds were a very different environment
- Varying o2, co2, greenhouse effects
Palaeo- environmental data important for interpreting the fossil record
Green Sahara events during the Holocene and Pleistocene
- Humid climate across the Sahara region 11,500 to 5,000 years ago. Lakes, grasslands and forests.
Ancient human paintings show animals no longer present in the Sahara desert region.