l2 Flashcards
define incidence, units?
An incidence rate is the number of new cases of the disease per 1000 people per year (or 1000 person–years)
E.g. 3 cases of colorectal carcinoma diagnosed per 1000 people per year
define prevalence
Prevalence is the amount of people who currently have the disease in a set population (with no time frame)
E.g. 30 people per 1000 people have diagnosed colorectal carcinoma
p=(Ix length of disease)
calculate the incidence rate ratio
If 300 new cases in a population of 30000 over a two year period were seen in an exposed region
And 400 new cases in a population of 60000 over a three year period were seen in an unexposed region
The incidence rate ratio will be
= (300 / (30000x2)) ÷ (400 / (60000 x 3)) = 2.25
(new case/ pop x no. of years) /(new case 2/ pop 2 x no. of years 2) =2.25
2.25 times as likely to die in place 1 than place 2
describe relationship between incidence and prevalence
prevalence is stable if incidence rate = death/cure
if death/cure higher than incidence then prevalence decreases
incidence higher than death/cure then prevalence increases
what are variations in risk
in population, not everyone has the same risk of disease e.g. overweight more likely to suffer MI
why is systematic variation important
gives clues about cause of disease.
why do you need a control group
control is the comparison group
compare levels of exposure in 2 groups to identify causal factor
may be able to then prevent exposure to reduce incidence
incidence rate
new events/ person x years= events per person year
incidence rate ratio
rate b (new/ exposed)/ rate a (old/ not exposed) 8 deaths in 800x1000= 10 in 1000 old 5 in 1000 new rate b/ rate a= 5/1000 / 10/1000= 0.5 new treatments half the risk of death
define rate
measure of absolute risk
deifne ratio
measure of relative risk
how can systematic variation be a nuisance
confounding factors (age/sex) cause spurious relationships if not taken into account
how can you get rid of confounding factors
use age specific rate ratios: narrow age bands
standardised mortality ratio: shows rate ratio for 2 pop if age/sex structure were identical; age and sex arent confounding
describe SMR
expected mortality in an age sex pop/ observed mortality in an age sex pop x100
100; same risk in study pop as control
>100 higher risk in study than control