L02 - Evidence Adds Up Flashcards
Abductive Reasoning
Pulling together facts, making sense of them, and arriving at conclusions based on what they seem to suggest as a set.
Ampliative Reasoning
Reasoning whose conclusion goes beyond what is expressed in the premises.
Analogical Reasoning
Reasoning that purports to exploit relevant similarities between a familiar, undisputed case and a case that is being argued.
Cogency
A property of arguments consisting in the fact that the premises of that argument make the conclusion reasonable or rationally believable.
Defeasibility
The quality of ampliative reasoning that leaves it open to amendment in light of new information.
Inductive Reasoning
Reasoning that draws upon what is known about observed cases to make conjectures about unobserved cases.
Mill’s Methods
Five methods developed by John Stuart Mill to explore the various levels of causation and correlation: method of agreement; method of difference; joint method of agreement and difference; method of concomitant variations; method of residues.
Enthymemes
Invalid arguments with unstated premises, which the audience is supposed to understand based on context. Applies to both deductive and non-deductive arguments.
Inductive Base
The supply of information on which an inductive argument is based. In general, the larger and more representative the inductive base, the stronger the argument for the conclusion.
Method of Agreement
Suppose some effect E is produced in two situations, S1 and S2. If there is only one factor F common to S1 and S2, then F is (or is integral to) the cause of E.
(E.g., Public health investigation to determine cause of disease.)
Method of Difference
If S1 and S2 share every factor except that S1 contains F and S2 does not, then if E occurs in S1, F is (or is integral to) the cause of E.
(E.g., Experiment with control group.)
Joint Method of Agreement and Difference
Combines the first two methods. We look for a pattern that has some factor in common to all circumstances in which the effect occurred and absent from all the circumstances in which the effect did not occur.
Method of Concomitant Variations
Look for co-variation (coordinated changes) in the degree to which some factor is present and the degree to which an effect is present in various circumstances.
Method of Residues
If we know that a particular range of factors causes a particular range of effects, and we notice that all those factors minus F cause all those effects minus E, then F is (or is integral to) the cause of E.
Proximate Cause
A cause occurring just prior to some event or effect.