Key Stats Concepts Flashcards
What are stats and probability?
Stats; given the info what is in the population
Probability; given the info about the population what is the the characteristics of the person selected
What is they relationship between true and observed value?
The observed value is the best estimate of the true tendency of a whole population
What is a hypothesis?
Statement that an underlying truth or scientific interest takes a particular quantitive vale
How do you do a hypothesis test?
Calculate probability of getting observed extreme (if hypothesis true)
Is probability very small, conclude the observation and hypothesis don’t match
Calculated value = P value
What does rejecting the null hypothesis mean?
Strongly suggests that the null hypothesis is false
What does not rejecting the null hypothesis mean?
We cannot accept it
By not rejecting it doesn’t mean that the null hypothesis is true
Just that findings are in line with it being true
What is the 95% confidence interval?
Range in which 95% certain that the true value of underlying truth lies
Observed value is always within this interval
How does the null hypothesis relate to the 95% confidence interval?
If 1 is within the range then accept the null hypothesis
If 1 not within the range then reject the null hypothesis = significant result