Key Rule 4 Flashcards

1
Q

Pros/Cons public comps

A
  • based on real data as opposed to future assumptions
  • May not be true comparables
  • less accurate for thinly traded stocks or volatile companies
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2
Q

Pros/Cons Precedent Transactions

A
  • based on what real companies have actually paid for other companies
  • data can be spotty, especially for private comp acquisitions
  • there may not be truly comparable transactions
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3
Q

Pros/Cons DCF analysis

A
  • not as subject to market fluctuations
  • theoretically sound since its based on ability to generate cash flow
  • subject to far in future assumptions
  • less useful for fast-growing/ unpredictable companies
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4
Q

Pros/Cons Liquidation Valuation

A
  • ignores noise in the market and determines value based on assets and liabilities
  • not useful for most healthy companies as tends to produce extremely low values
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5
Q

Pros/Cons M&A premiums analysis

A
  • Same issues as with PT
  • also can’t use acquisition of private comps for this as premiums only apply to public companies with stock prices
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6
Q

Pros/Cons future share price analysis

A
  • good as it tells you how much company may be worth
  • but depends on assumptions
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7
Q

Pros/Cons sum of parts

A
  • more accurately values diversified, conglomerate-type companies
  • bad as you often lack the appropriate data for each division
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8
Q

Pros/Cons LBO analysis

A
  • good as it sets a floor on valuation by determining the min amount a PE firm could pay to achieve its returns
  • gives a relatively low floor rather than a wide range of values
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9
Q

Precedent Transactions vs. Public Comps:

A

Transactions tend to be higher due to the control premium, i.e. the premium the buyer pays to acquire the seller

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10
Q

Discounted Cash Flow conclusions

A

Hard, tends to be the most variable due to its dependence on future assumptions

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11
Q

Liquidation valuation conclusion

A

99& of the time will produce lowest numbers as companies are significantly worth more than what their BS suggests

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12
Q

Sum of the parts conclusion

A

If company is truly worth more in ‘parts’ then this one will tend to produce higher values than relative valuation method

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13
Q

LBO analysis conclusion

A

Tends to produce lower values, usually lower than DCF or relative valuation, but once again it’s dependent on assumptions

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14
Q

Link between metrics and multiples

A

Generally, there’s a correlation between growth rates and relevant multiples, and sometimes also between margins and multiples:

• All else being equal, a company with higher revenue growth will also have higher revenue multiples than companies not growing as quickly.
• Similarly, a company with higher EBITDA growth tends to have higher EBITDA multiples than companies not growing as quickly
BUT:
- just general rules, valuations impacted by everything
- basic math can ask so impact multiples, especially when cpmaones have very margins

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15
Q

EV/Revenue and P/E multiples taken least serious because

A
  1. Company should be valued on profits not sales
  2. P/E is subject to non-cash and non-recurring charges, like different tax rates, company’s capital structure and other issues
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