IR 2023 Flashcards
India’s foreign policy evolution
- 1947-62— resist dilution of soverignity, NAM
- 1962- 71- PHASE of realism and recovery - 2 wars, ucp axis, soviet tilt
- 71-91- greater Indian regional assertion
Own Monroe doctrine, pokran smiling buddha, liberating Bangladesh, ipkf misadventure in srilanka, ussr end - 91-99– guarding strategic autonomy
Single superpower, pokran 2, bilateral reaction with Israel, look east - 99-2013- phase of balancing power
USA civil nuclear deal
Brics - Era of energetic diplomacy
Innovative - FIPIC
STARTED shaping key global negotiations- CDRI, ISA
Neighbourhood first, act east, hard power (uri), diaspora
Key points of neighbourhood first policy
- Political and diplomatic priority to immediate neighbors
- Support as needed
- Greater connectivity and integration
- Promote a model of India led regionalism which neighbors are comfortable with
Positive steps taken by india for its neighbourhood
- Lba - Bangladesh
- Millitary cooperation - operation sunrise
India- srilanka army —-> slimex - Capacity development initiative - training of Bhutan officers in NPA
- Humanitarian assistance - ex: operation neer to help Maldives govt to put out fire
- Sagar
- Connectivity - IMT, KALADAN etc
- Joint ventures - west seti hydro electric projects
Issues faced by india in achieving neighbourhood first
- Political
- arc of instability ( Rajiv Sikri ) - SL, MY, AF
- refugee crisis - Rohingya
- treaty of friendship with Nepal and Bhutan - Failure of SOUTH Asian regionalism - SAARC
- Economic
- low trade ( less than 4% brookings study )
- financial crisis—- SL, pak
- delivery deficit - pancheshwar project 2 decades - Security
- border conflict - lac China
- cross border terror- pak
- organised crime - triangle and crescent
- porous borders - China factor
- india forced to deal in pairs — Chinese prism
- bri
- aid diplomacy
Diaspora is India’s living bridge
- 89127 million $ 21-22 remittance
- Nation branding- Harris park of Australia, little india - hub for Indian cuisines and Indian owned business
- Global ceos - Sundar pichai, satya nadella
- Heads of multilateral Instn - Ajay Banga of wb
- Politicians - Kamala Harris, nikki haley, rishi sunak
- Global csr - lulu group + dubai cares
- Primary, secondary, tertiary activities - nhs of uk, Italy diary farming
- India’s foreign policy - Civil nuclear deal, samosa Caucasus of Usa
Area of convergence between india Nepal
- Strategic - buffer, open border- treaty of friendship
- Hydro diplomacy
- river water management - Mahakali treaty
- dam construction- Sapta Kosi dam
- power trade agreement- west seti HEP - Connectivity
- road rail
- BBIN
- energy pipeline — oil pipeline (1st) - Motihari to amlekh gunj - Economic ties
- 2/3rd of Nepal merchandise trade
- Nepal land locked - trade and transit
- budget allocation to Nepal by india - Cultural
- open border and ethnic ties with madhesis — roti Beti
- Nepali official language
- cultural diplomacy — Buddhist tourism circuit - Multilateralism - saarc , BImstec
Area of divergence india nepal
- Conflicts
- border — kalapani susta border
- indo - Nepal treaty - major bone of contention— sikkimisation - Security
- porous- hideouts for terrorists
- organised crime - cattle , drugs, human - Economic
- delivery deficit — Pancheswar project 2 decades pending
- Nepali tea disgusised as Darjeeling tea - Political
- madhesi discrimination ( ties with India )
- india bashing by political parties — territorial nationalism
- anti india sentiments- Nepal eq
- political instability —more than 30 govt in 3 decades - China
- proposed China - Nepal trans Himalayan connectivity network
- Chinese companies actively involved in power trade
Indo Nepal way forward
- Jayan prasad - indo nepal technical level joint boundary working group
- C Rajamohan - reset - 2 departure — come into terms with Nepals quest for strategic autonomy, put all agreements including the 1950:treaty for renegotiation
Issues with Chinese water war
- Water
- B 30% freshwater, 40% HEP project
- water poverty — a,a,a
- water pollution - Weaponisation
- hydrohegemony - since it’s an upper riparian state
- use as a political tool - coercive diplomacy - Limited institutional mech — stopped sharing dates with india in past
- Environment
- changing water management paradigm across the world
- artificial floods
Rivalaries i. Middle East broad heading
- Failure of Instn mechanism like GCC
- Shia- Sunni
- Terrorism from governed spaces
- Israel Palestine
- Proxy war
- Turkeys aspirations
- Muslim brotherhood vs monarchy
Deamericanisation followed by sino centricism
What is the significance of west Asia to India
- Strategic
- sloc - babel madeb, strait of Hormuz
- regional connectivity- chabahar
- defence - Indian millitary port- Duqm - Economic
- energy security - 2/3rd
- trade - india uae CEPA
- investment - uae investment in India’s sovereign wealth fund - Diaspora - 8-9 mn
- culture
- 2nd largest Muslim population
- launched rupay card - Historical ties
India vs China response to RU war
- Supports Russian cause vs omnidirectional balancing
- Blames nato vs not any intl player
- Russian revisionism vs Westphalian notion of intl order
- China- Russia axis vs peace . Pm - “ we are not neutral . We are on the side of peace “
Challenges faced by global south
- Great power contest - EU GATEWAY FUND, NEW WASHINGTON CONSENSUS
- Colonial history
- Global governance structure - P5, AoA of wto, vaccine inequality, dilution of CBDR
- Low HDI
- Economic crisis- Venezuela 400% inflation rate in 2023
- Climate colonisation
Is India capable of being voice of global south
- Foreign policy
- NAM
- south south multilateral- bimstec , Ibsa - Capacity building
- technology ( Aadhar-Africa,, upi in B and N)
- Human Resource training
-pharma of the world
- space - navic , brazils Amazonia - latest launch mission of India’s pslv - Social justice
- inclusive growth model — SHG emulated in Africa
- voice against vaccine ipr
- AoA- — peace clause
- constitutional guarantee of fundamental rights - Alternate models
A. Voice. Against neo-colonial —- phase down instead of phase out
B. Alternative to Chinese expansionist model — aagc
C. Alternate institution building - Isa, osowog , cdri
Instruments used by india for its economic diplomacy
- Itec - IT training center in Ghana
- Fta- india- srilanka Fta ,
- fdi- 100% fdi in manufacturing, construction and IT
- LoC - concessional line of credit - India’s defence LOC to Vietnam
- Aid - Bhutan
- devp partnership - suburban rail project of Mozambique
- Buyers credit
Talent, Tourism, trade and tech
Wf for indi for better economic diplomacy
- Friendshoring and China +1
- Fta with major powers
- Minilaterals - i2u2
- Digital trade —- Aadhar and upi
- Paradiplomacy
- Role of diaspora
Challenges faced by india wrt signing FTA
Trade
1. Trade deficit - ASEAN trade
2. Trade diversion - less eff
3. Inverted duty structure
4. Noodle bowl syndrome
Domestic
1. Inefficient manufacturing sector
2. Competition— agri
3. Low firm level use of FTA ( Surjit Bhalla ) — msme
Other
1. WTO plus elements — labor regulation, higher endv protection
2. Rising fortress economies
What should be India’s focus while signing new FTA
Domestic
1. ES — network products, assemble in india—- deeper integration with global supply chain
2. Ensure benefits in sectors beneficial to India
— india - uae — textile, gems jewellery
— Australia- service sector and pharma
Geoeconomics
1. China +1
Geopolitics
- indo pacific
- developed countries
Surjit Bhalla commitee recommendation on Fta
- Integrated approach - goods + services + investment
- Use of trade remedies like ADD- scientifically arrived proofs
- Data on use of Fta
- Inter ministerial coordination
- Stakeholder consultation
Key points of india -aus Fta
- 50 Bn $ by 2027
- Service sector liberalisation
- Agri and dairy kept out
- Compulsory review mechanisms
- Safeguard mechanism against sudden Inc in imports
- COMPARABLE REGULATORY AUTHORITY MODEL
Indo Japan convergence — political
- Bipartisan consensus
- Para diplomacy - ahd+ Kobe
- Global governance - g4
Indo Japan convergence — economic
- Complementarities
- young vs old
- service vs adv manufacturing
- make in india vs patient capital - Largest ODA partner
- Large source of fdi - ex : japans marubeni conglomerate recently agreed to invest 10000 cr in hi tech park Kolar
- China + 1
- Scri
- Health - Ayushmann Bharat and AHWN
Indo Japan strategic convergence
- Indo Japan vision 2025 — peace and prosperity in indo pacific
- Quad
- Both do not want sino centric global order — aagc
- 2+2
- Nuclear deal - 6 np — 10 fold by 2032
Concerns of indo japan
Economic
1. Trade - 20 bn and 300 bn
2. Investment delay — bullet
3. Infra delay - aagc
Strategic
1. Stalled negotiations— us2 amphibious aircraft
2. Vostok 22 in kurile island