Investments Flashcards
Investment risks
- Default
- Inflation
- Liquidity
- Marketability
- Dividends (equities)
Government uses interest rates to
- Control inflation
- Encourage economic growth
- Manage exchange rate
Theories of yield curve
LIME
1. Liquidity theory
* additional yield on less liquid bonds - normally LT
2. Inflation risk premium
*additional yield on long-term conventional bonds
*compensate for inflation
3. Market segmentation theory
*supply a d demand determine yields at each term
*demand comes from matching attempts
4. Expectations theory
*yield reflects future expectations of interest and inflation
Economic factors affecting bonds
FIIERCE
1. Fiscal
2. Interest
3. Inflation
4. Economic growth
5. Perceived riskiest
6. Curreny
7. Exchange rate
Economic factors affecting equity (secure options)
OPERATICS
1. Overseas equities
2. Political climate
3. Economic growth
4. Perceived riskiest
5. Alternative
6. Tax
7. Interest and inflation
8. Currency
9. Supply
Investments selected should be appropriate to
CnUT
1. Currency
2. Uncertainty
3. Nature
4. Term
Nature of benefits
- Guaranteed money
- Guaranteed index linked
- Discretionary
- Investment linked
Matching options
- Pure
- Approximate
- Liability hedging
*approximate
*full - Immunisation
Custodian duties
- Hold investment on behalf of investor
- Independently account for financial transactions
- Ensure financial instruments are housed under proper system
- Bank/regulated inst
- Services
*income collection
*tax recovery
*. Cash management
*securities settlement
*foreign exchange
*stock lending
*voting
Immunisation conditions
- Pv are equal
- Dmt are equal
*weighted average duration of series of cashflow
* measure of sensitivity of PV to small changes in force of interest
*average life of investments - Spread about the Dmt of assets slightly more than of liabilities
*larger convexity = higher spread =less affected by small changes in interest rates
Limitations of immunisation theory
- Profit (rules out equity ans property)
*cut out opp to profit from excess returns - fixed
*ideally for fixed interest
*there might be lag for index Inked - Discounted mean term asset
*not easy to find long term dmt - Curve
*assume whole curve moves by same - Rearrangement/rebalancing
*will require upkeep - Timing
*?unknown timing - Interest
* doesn’t work for big changes
Valuation methods foe individual investments
- Market value
- Smoothed Market value
- Fair value
- Discounted cashflow
- Stochastic models
- Arbitrage value
- Historic book value
- Written up/down
Market value valuation
not readily attained- unwuo
1.varies constantly-known with certainty at transaction date
2. Many quoted figures in open market at any time
3. Objective and easily obtained figure - starting pnt of val
*objective
*realistic
*easy
*well understood and accepted
*can be used for comparison
#volatile
#May not reflect values of future proceeds
#subjective decisions (mid, bid,offer)
#difficult to ensure consistency with liability basis
#value reflects position of marginal investor
#illiquidity-may notbe realised
Smoothed market value
- Where MV is avail smooth by taking some form of average over specified period to rem9ve fluctuations
- Not great for consistent liability valuations - appropriate discount rate is indetermjnate
Fair value
- Market based method of valuation
- Amount for which asset or liability could be excahnged/settled between knowledgeable, willing parties at arms length
- Likely to be market price
4 . Indicative price from brokwr/market maker - Use most recent adjusted for movement in appropriate index
- Use stochastic asset modeling for market consistent value