investments Flashcards
time value of money
FV = PV * (1+r)^n
money received today worth more than money received in future
interest earned on amount invested (present value), time will add value (future value) to your savings
why?
1) money received now can be saved or invested now and earn interest or a return, resulting in more $ in future
2) any promise of future payments of cash will always carry risk of default
3) simple human nature for people to prefer making purchases on present
compound interest
interest incomes earned in subsequent periods that is based on interest income earned in prior periods
uncertainty of returns (risks)
default: issuer will fail to make required payment
inflation: investors have less purchasing power from realized cash flows from an investment due to inflation
diversifiable: investors hold individual securities, bear risk of other diversified portfolios
non-diversifiable: what remains after portfolio diversification has eliminated unnecessary diversifiable risk
political: local/state/national gov disrupting firm cash flows
present value
how much a future amount is worth today
net present value
considering the expected inflows and outflows, how much is an investment worth today?
should a firm make a certain investment?
aggregate the cash flows to determine whether the cash inflows are greater than the cash outflows
future cash flows that occur at different times or over a period of time have different present value
- these cash flows have to be discounted to the present time
- aggregating these discounted cash flows tells us the net present value
- process requires assumptions
net present value
NPV > 0 : PV inflow greater than PV of the outflows. Money earned on investment is worth more than the costs, thus it’s a good investment
NPV = 0 : PV inflow equal to PV outflow. No difference in value between value of money earned and money invested
NPV < 0 : PV inflow less than PV of outflows. Money earned on investment is worth less today than costs, thus bad investment.
financial markets and investing
risk: outcome is not guaranteed
higher the risk, higher the return required
risk:
- degree of uncertainty/potential financial loss inherent in investment decision
- as investment risks rise, investors seek higher returns to compensate themselves for taking such risks
diversification
reduce risk through allocation of assets
- don’t just have stocks, debt securities and cash are important
- cash allows you to have liquidity - space to make decisions
warren buffett
2007 - buffett made bet if he invested 1 mil into index fund, tracking the S&P index, he would outperform hedgefunds
10 year long bet
hedgefund actively managed, requires riskier strategies
index funds
can buy index funds that match or track popular indices
dow jones
30 large prominent companies, price weighted
nasdaq
all stocks on nasdaq
S&P
500 top companies, 29% in tech segment