Introduction to Macroeconomics (GDP, GNI, Business Cycle) Flashcards

GDP, GNI, GDP per capita, Business Cycle

1
Q

What are the 5 Macroeconomic objectives?

A
  1. Price stability (inflation)
  2. Low unemployment
  3. Economic Growth
  4. Income Equity
  5. Favorable BOP
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2
Q

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

A

The total value of all goods and services produced within the borders of a country within a given period of time

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3
Q

Three method of calculating GDP

A

Output method - sum of all value added by all firms grouped by sectors of society
Income method - sum of all income earned in economy (rent, wages, interest, profit, etc)
Expenditure method - sum of all spending on goods and services

National output = national income = national expenditure

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4
Q

Formula for GDP

A

GDP = C + I + G + (X - M)

C = consumption
I = investment
G = government spending
X - M = net exports

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5
Q

Gross National Income (GNI)

A
  • A measure of national income that takes into consideration net property income from abroad
  • GNI = GDP + income earned from assets abroad
  • GNI = GDP - income paid to foreign assets operating domestically
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6
Q

Net National Product / Net National Income (NNP/NNI)

A

NNP/NNI = GNI - Depreciation

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7
Q

Depreciation

A

The detorioration or loss of value of items over time

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8
Q

Nominal GDP

A

GDP’s value at current price

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9
Q

Real GDP

A
  • GDP but takes into account inflation
  • Real GDP = (Nominal GDP / GDP deflator) x 100
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10
Q

GDP per capita

A
  • Used to compare average income in a country and allow us to see income averages in a family
  • GDP per capita = GDP/total population
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11
Q

Limitations of the data

A
  1. Inaccuracies - who is collecting the data? Source of numbers? How do you put a value?
  2. Under-recorded/unrecorded economic activity
    “Hidden/Shadow Economy”/ Informal economy:
    Informal sector - economic activity that is unrecorded/illegal/not taxed by the government authorities and is therefore not in the national accounts. Sometimes this is known as parallel markets or black markets.
    Examples: DIY, subsistence farming, personal gardens, tribal groups
    Examples: illegal/migrant workers, tax avoidance
  3. Externalities
  4. Quality of life - hospitals, unis, schools, public goods and its long term effect
  5. Composition of output - not all benefits all consumers
  6. Distribution of income not shown

It measure the market value not the welfare.

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12
Q

Green GDP

A
  • Monetizes the loss of biodiversity, and accounts for costs caused by climate change.
  • It is a measure for GDP that accounts for environmental destruction.
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13
Q

Alternative measures of well-being

A
  • OECD Better Life index
  • Happiness Index
  • Happy Planet Index
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14
Q

Why gather national income data? Who uses the data?

A

IB recognizes these: comparisons over time, comparisons between countries, and use in making conclusions about standards of living

Governments: policies, laws, balance the budget, growth over time, economic health

Business and Investors: future demand, business confidence, investment potential, security

International organisations and other countries: living standards, trade potential, comparing countries

Economists: predictions, analysis, research

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15
Q

Business Cycle

A
  • The business cycle is periodic but irregular fluctuations in economic activity that occur over time.
  • It is measured by fluctuations in real GDP and other macro variables.
  • Changes are cyclical. (Note: usually, the second recovery is at a higher level as each boom is higher than the last).
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16
Q

Boom (Business Cycle Phases)

A

High prices, high profits

17
Q

Recession/Downturn

A
  • Prices and profits decline
  • A recession is two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth (falling GDP).
18
Q

Depression/Slump/Trough/Bust

A

Prices and profits are at their lowest levels. Contraction ends.

19
Q

Upturn/Recovery

A

Prices and profits on the rise

20
Q

Normal Times

A

Static prices and profits. Shows a flattening of the curve. Either with a recovery or after a boom

21
Q

Recovery is…

A
  • Economic expansion
  • Increase in consumer confidence
  • Output increases
  • Consumption and investment rise
  • GDP rises
  • Firms take on more workers
  • Unemployment falls
  • Leads to a BOOM.
22
Q

A boom is…

A
  • Newly employed spend new incomes
  • Demand for money and investment increases → pushes up interest rates
  • Inflationary pressure → Price levels are driven up (high inflation)
  • Economic growth
23
Q

A recession is…

A
  • Fall in consumption and investment
  • Unemployment rises → further consumption falls
  • Low demand → deflation
  • Real incomes fall
  • Firms cut output and increase unemployment
  • Leads to a depression
24
Q

More about the business cycle

A
  • The contraction (period when the economy is in a downturn) lasts on average for 11 months.
  • The expansion (period when the economy is in upturn) lasts on average 44.8 months.
25
Q

Why can output not fall forever?

A
  • There are always some people with jobs to maintain a given level of consumption / production.
  • Demand for exports exists. The government is still spending. People are using their savings.
26
Q

How long is a ‘typical’ business cycle?

A
  • No simple answer. It is linked to and exacerbated by the electoral cycle.
  • Since WWII most are 3-5 years peak to peak. To compare, the Great Depression (1923-33) was in decline for 43 months.
27
Q

Pros of Boom

A
  • High firm revenue
  • High investment
  • Increased spending
  • Incomes rise
  • Low unemployment
  • Increased productivity
28
Q

Cons of Boom

A
  • Inflation
  • Real income falls
  • High costs/prices
  • Cannot last
29
Q

Pros of Normal Times

A
  • Sustained economy - normal spending
  • Stable/static prices
  • Opportunity to save
30
Q

Cons of Normal Times

A

No growth

31
Q

Pros of Recession

A
  • Cheaper products/lower prices
  • Firms with savings (rich/dominant firms can expand)
32
Q

Cons of Recession

A
  • Deflation
  • Low investment
  • Unemployment rises
33
Q

Pros of Depression

A

Cheaper products/prices

34
Q

Cons of Depression

A
  • High unemployment
  • No growth
  • Lower investments
  • No profits
35
Q

Pros of Upturn

A

Increased employment, earnings and profits

36
Q

Cons of Upturn

A

Prices begin to rise

37
Q

Long Term Trend

A

Tend to be considered as the potential output of the economy, not the actual growth

38
Q

What is the difference between a decrease in GDP and a decrease in GDP growth?

A
  • Decrease in GDP means the entire GDP is going down (recession)
  • A decrease in GDP growth means that the growth rate is slowing down, doesn’t mean that its not growing