Intro to Forecasting Flashcards
Data-based forecasting procedures
- Regression Analysis 2. Decomposition 3. Smoothing 4. Autoregressive Moving Average
Long-term Forecasts
Setting the general course of an organization in the long-run; Top management is particularly focused on these.
Short-term Forecasts
Needed to design immediate strategies to meet the needs of the immediate future.
Micro Forecast Example
Plant manger interested in forecasting the number the number of workers needed in the next several months.
Macro Forecast Example
Federal government forecasting the total number of people employed in the entire country.
Point Forecast
Single number, Best guess forecast.
Interval Forecast
Range of numbers within which the future value is expected to fall.
Density Forecast
Entire probability distribution for the future value.
True or False
Quantitative forecasting techniques rely more on manipulation of historical data.
True
{Extra info about quantitative forecasting techniques goes here}
True or False
Qualitiative forecasting techniques rely on human judgement and intuition.
True
{Extra info about qualititative forecasting techniques goes here}