Interpretation of financial statements Flashcards
We concluded last lecture that valuation is all about forecasting future returns, we have 2 accounting rates of return which are?
ROCE
RNOA
Do firms create value more from operating or fianancing activities?
Operating activities except for a few expections
1) Fricitions in capital market allow firms to make money from fiancing activities
2) Firms that operate in the financial sector ( e.g. banks a lot of operating activities is to do with fiancing things.)
What are the formulas for RNOAt and ROCEt( means how well company is generating profit from capital ( so high means good for shareholders) ?
So t-1 is the beginning of the period or the end of last period.
What is a problem of just looking at these two Ratios?
1) Ratios may hide underlying trends.
2) Ratios are less relevant if looked at in isolation. ( need to have a benchmark e..g industry or previous years)
3) We have implicitly made the assumption that financial leverage doesn’t affect value.
So what do we use to make ratios more meaning?
Advanced/ DuPont analysis, is a useful technique used to decompose the different drivers of return on capital employed. ( ROCE)
So what is another way to write RNOA
PM X AT
if there is no _b balance then it means that its a t balance.
Hence using the OI/NOA_b doesn’t allow us to decompose what causes RNOA and affects forecast.
What does RNOA mean?
What does profit margin tell you?
What does AT turn over tell you?
RNOA = measure of our return on operating assets.
PM = how many cents per dollar it generates per sale.
AT = measures the efficiency of a company’s assets in generating revenue or sales.
Does any effect on interest expenses get measured in profit margin?
No, originally if we borrowed money the interest expense will lower our profit margin, hence this fixes it, so profit margin will only change our operating activities.
How are we defining NOA and NFO? And then what is the fundamental balance sheet equation?
NOA = ( OA - OL) ( assumes OA> OL, if not then its either negative NOA or NOL)
NFO = ( FL - FA) ( same here)
NOA = NFO + CSE. ( this always holds)
What is advanced Dupont analysis of ROCE ( skipping all the algebra )?
ROCE = RNOA + FLEV*SPREAD
So we know that ROCE = ROCE = RNOA + FLEV*SPREAD which splits ROCE into the rate of return of operating activities and rate of return of non-operating activities what are the formulas for each component. What does FLEV mean for equity holders?
RNOA = OI/NOA_b
FLEV = NFO/CSE
SPREAD = RNOA - NFE/NFO_b
If a firm uses some debt, then this will increase return for equity holders, you want to take more leverage if RNOA > NFE/NFO_b
What does spread mean? RNOA - NFE/NFO_b
Basically tells us if you are generating return on assets to cover the interest you paying for borrowing, if you are the more you want to borrow as ROCE increases.
No we have to reformulate them.
What is a stock variable and what is a flow variable?
flow variable is measured over a period of time ( IS and CS)
stock variable is measured at a specific point in time.( balance sheet)
Now we are going to look at the stock and flow equation for equity? Now what is the clean surplus relation?
The clean surplus states that the difference between earnings and dividends equals the change in book value. Or the beginning book value of equity + CI for the period - dividends for the period show equal the the book value of equity at end of period.
CI from income statement is NI + OCI = CI
d = Net dividends ( so company pays dividends but they can also receive income ( e.g. share repurchases) but here is assuming the company paying dividends pay more than what company receives. BE CAREFUL WITH SIGNS