International parity Flashcards
what’s the law of one price
- exchange-adjusted prices of all identical tradable goods and financial assets must be equal or be within transaction costs bounds
Suppose two identical goods are priced differently in two different countries
-arbitrage opp
- demand for the cheaper on increases, so does its prices
- opposite for the other
- adjustment
How is PPP different from LOP
PPP is different in that it deals with a basket of goods rather than with a single good
Problems with absolute PPP
- assumes free and frictionless trade conditions
- ignores transportations costs, tariffs and quotas
- basket of goods may vary across countries
- Result: absolute PPP may not hold while LOP still does
Relative version of the PPP
- exchange rate between two countries adjusts to reflect changes in the price levels in the respective countries
- therefore, spot exchange rate cannot be determined based on the PPP between these countries
Does realtive PPP hold
Doesn’t hold short run but long run yeah. Because a monetary shock has an immediate
effect on exchange rate but a delayed yet a
persistent effect on output, investment, and
consumption. This implies that capital markets
adjust much faster than commodities market to the exchange rate changes.
What is exchange rate pass-through
- measure of response in prices of imported and exported goods to changes in the exchange rate
- incomplete exchange rate pass-through is the result that PPP does not hold in the short run
State the IFE in words (international fisher effect)
States that countries with low interest rates are expected to appreciate relative to currencies with high interest rates
What does interest rate Parity conditions provide
the linkage between foreign exchange and international money markets
What does uncovered interest rate parity imply
- implies the relation between the return on an unhedged investment in a foreign currency in term of the domestic currency
- does not guarantee that the return on foreign investment will be equal to the domestic interest rate on investment of equal risk
Covered interest rate parity
-Cip is the relation between the return on a hedged investment in a foreign currency in terms of the domestic currency
- does guarantee that the return on foreign investment will be equal the domestic interest rate on investment of identical risk
Chapter conclusions
- LOP is the fundamental no-arbitrage condition
- all parity conditions follow from LOP
- all parity conditions do not account for possible markets imperfections
test results on parity conditions
- domestic currency appreciates when nominal interest rate is higher
- profitable trading exists: buy the bond of the country with higher nominal int rate
- violation of the semi strong form of market efficiency hypothesis
- existence of a foreign exchange risk premium with no violation of market efficiency