International Monetary Systems Flashcards
What does the choice of a particular exchange rate regime depend on?
The choice of a particular exchange rate regime depends on the relative importance that a nation places on various policy objectives like low inflation, external stability, credibility of monetary policy, international competitiveness, among others.
What is the trilemma and exchange rate regime choice?
The impossible trinity of international finance stems from the fact that in general, economic policy makers would like to achieve each of the following 3 goals:
1) stable exchange rate
2) an independent monetary policy
3) capital market integration
The policy maker’s trilemma is that in pursuing any two of these goals, the country must forgo the third.
In the trilemma and exchange rate regime choice, why do policy makers want a stable exchange rate?
A stable exchange rate makes it easier and less risky for businesses and individuals to buy, sell and invest overseas
In the trilemma and exchange rate regime choice, why do policy makers want an independent monetary policy?
With a monetary policy independence, a nation can use its control over the money supply and interest rates to help stabilise the economy
In the trilemma and exchange rate regime choice, why do policy makers want capital market integration?
Opening the country’s economy to international flows of capital allows for better capital allocation, improved portfolio diversification by investing abroad, and a lower cost of capital.
How can a country have monetary independence and capital market integration? Examples
When it has pure float.
US, UK, euro vs the world
How can a country have monetary independence and exchange rate stability? Examples
Complete capital controls.
Bretton Woods, Argentina, Malaysia
How can a country have capital market integration and exchange rate stability? Examples
Credibly fixed
Gold standard, Hong Kong, within Eurozone
What happened when nations ignored the principles of the trilemma and attempted to fully all 3 policy objectives?
They achieved a currency crash.
Examples: Mexico, Russia, Thailand, Brazil, Korea, Indonesia
How do some countries ration and control their currencies?
They use capital controls
What is the most draconian situation of capital control?
When all foreign exchange earnings must be surrendered to the central bank/government, which, in turn, appropriates these funds.
What are typical currency control measures?
- restricting or prohibition of certain remittance categories (e.g. dividends and royalties)
- ceiling on direct foreign investment outflows
- controls on overseas portfolio investments
- import restrictions
- required surrender of hard-currency export receipts to the central bank
- limitations on prepayments for imports
More typical currency control measures:
- requirements to deposit in interest-free accounts with the central bank, for a specified time, some percentage of the value of imports and/or remittances
- foreign borrowings restricted to a minimum or maximum maturity
- ceilings on granting credit to foreign firms
- imposition of taxes and limitations on foreign-owned bank deposits
- multiple exchange rates for buying and sellin foreign currencies, depending on category of goods or services each transaction fall into
What is a free float mechanism?
In a free float mechanism, as economic conditions change, market participants will adjust their current and expected future currency needs.
What does the freely floating nature of the exchange rate in response to market forces allows?
It allows it to act as an automatic stabiliser. A negative shock to the economy usually results in a fall in the exchange rate, which cushions the adjustment to the shock by stimulating exports and contracting imports.
What is the downside of the free float mechanism?
The exchange rate volatility of a free float mechanism gives rises to an increase in risk and often substantially affects MNCs profits.
What is a managed float mechanism?
In a managed float mechanism, countries with floating currencies try to smooth exchange rate fluctuation, through central bank interventions.