inflation and deflation Flashcards

1
Q

define Inflation

A

sustained rise in the level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time.

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2
Q

how is Inflation and deflation measured? (5)

A
  • measured using a consumer price index (CPI)
  • A selection of goods and services normally purchased by a family or household is identified.
  • The prices of these ‘basket of goods and services’ will then be monitored at a number
  • The average price of the basket in the base year is given a value of 100.
  • The average change in price of these goods and services over the year is calculated.
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3
Q

define consumer price index (CPI)

A

a measure of the weighted average of the price of a representative basket of goods and services.

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4
Q

Causes of Inflation (3)

A
  1. Demand-pull inflation: inflation caused by an increase in aggregate demand is called demand-pull inflation.
    2.** Cost-push inflation**: caused by an increase in cost of production in the economy
  2. a rise in money supply in contrast with output is the key reason for inflation: If the GDP isn’t accelerating as much as the money supply, then there will be a higher demand which could exceed supply, leading to inflation.
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5
Q

define cost puch inflation

A

rises in the price level
caused by higher costs
of production.

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6
Q

define Demand-pull
inflation

A

rises in the
price level caused by
excess demand.

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7
Q

define Wage-price spiral

A

wage rises leading to higher prices which, in turn, lead to further wage claims and price rises.

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7
Q

The consequences of inflation? (3)

A
  1. Lower purchasing power - when the price level rises, the lesser number of goods and services you can buy ,in this situation Hyperinflation may occer.
    2.Exports are less internationally competitive - if the prices of exports are high, its competitiveness in international markets will fall . This could lead to a current account deficit if exports lower (especially if they are price elastic).
  2. Inflation causing inflation: the cost of living in the economy rises. This might cause workers to demand higher wages increasing the cost of production. If the price of raw materials also increase , the cost of production again increases, causing cost-push inflation.
  3. Fixed income groups, lenders, and savers lose
    * a person who has a fixed income will lose as he cannot press for higher wages during inflation
    * Lenders who lent money before inflation and receive the money back during inflation will lose the value on their money.
    * Savers also lose because the interest they’re earning on savings in banks does not increase as much as the inflation
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7
Q

define Monetarists

A

a group of economists who think that inflation is caused by the money
supply growing more rapidly than output.

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8
Q

define Monetary inflation

A

rises in the price level caused by an excessive growth of the money supply.

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9
Q

define hyperinflation

A

a
very rapid and large
rise in the price level.

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10
Q

Policies to control inflation (4)

A
  1. Contractionary monetary policy - Raising interest rates will discourage spending and investing and reduce the money supply in the economy, helping cut down on demand
  2. Contractionary fiscal policy - raising taxes will discourage spending and investing this will reduce aggregate demand , helping bring down the price level.
  3. Supply side policies - privatisation and deregulation hope to make firms competitive and efficient, and thus avoid inflationary pressures.
  4. Exchange rate policy - ting the domestic currency can lower import prices helping reduce cost-push inflation arising from expensive imported raw materials
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11
Q

benefits of Inflation (3)

A
  1. may encourage firms to expand.
  2. Inflation reduces the burden of debt that households and firms have built up, thus avoids going bankrupt.
  3. Inflation can** prevent some workers being made redundant in a declining industry**, workers are likely to resist any cut in their money wages, they may accept their money wages rising by less than inflation. In
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12
Q

Causes of deflation (4)

A
  • Aggregate supply exceeding aggregate demand: when supply exceeds demand, there is an excess of output in the economy not consumed, causing prices to fall.
  • Demand has fallen in the economy: during a recession, a fall in demand in the economy causes general prices to fall and cause a deflation.
  • Labour productivity has risen: higher output will lead to lower average costs, which could reflect as lower prices for products.
  • Technological advance has reduced cost of production, pulling down cost-push inflation.
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12
Q

define Deflation

A

general fall in the price level.

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12
Q

Consequences of deflation

A
  • Lower prices will discourage production, resulting in unemployment.
  • As demand and prices fall, investors will be discouraged to invest, lowering the output/GDP.
  • Deflation can cause recession as demand and prices continue to fall and firms are forced to close down as enough profits are not being made.
  • Tax revenue of the government will fall as economic activity and incomes falls. They might be forced to borrow money to finance public expenditure.
  • Borrowers will lose during a deflation because now the value of the debt they owe is higher than when they borrowed the money.
  • Deflation will **increase the real debt burden of the government **as the value of debt money increases.
13
Q

Policies to control deflation

A
  1. Expansionary monetary policy - cutting interest rates will encourage more spending and investment in the economy which will stimulate prices to rise.
  2. Expansionary fiscal policy - increasing government spending in the economy, especially in infrastructure will help raise demand, along with cuts in direct taxes.
  3. Devaluation - devaluing the currency through selling domestic currency and/or increasing the money supply will cause export prices to fall, encouraging production of exports, resulting in higher demand; and also increase prices of imported products which will raise costs and prices for products in the economy.
  4. Change inflation expectations - businesses won’t increase wages and consumers won’t pay higher prices, higher inflation, firms will pay their workers more and consumer will spend more now, avoiding a deflation.