Inflation Flashcards

1
Q

how do you calculate inflation from cpi

A

(CPI June 2018/CPI June 2017 ) - 1 x 100

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2
Q

what is inflation and what is the inflation rate this september quarter

A

a noticeable price increase overtime across a range of goods 0.7%

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3
Q

what is the CPI

A

a measure of changes in the price of baskets (samples) of g/s bought by Aus households

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4
Q

what is a basket

A

items classified into 11 major groups, 33 subgroups and 87 classes of expenditure

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5
Q

what is a weight (what is health care weighted and what are weights influenced by)

A

percentenage of household income/ importance ABS attaches to items for HH (5/7% healthcare)
influenced by consumers preferences and reactions to price

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6
Q

what is the formula for total expenditure per period

A

weight x price

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7
Q

why is the CPI not a good measure of inflation (3 points)

A

only shows prices in cities which is not the true cost of living
doesnt reflect consumer preferences/substitutions
doesnt account for changes in equality of goods so price tends to be overstated

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8
Q

what is a headline measure of inflation

A

the CPI is a headline measure of inflation, it is a broad measure of cost change in new purchases made by salary/wage earners

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9
Q

what are the 2 factors effecting headline measures

A
  1. price of agricultural commodities change each season (price falls when supply is up but rise in shortage or out of season)
  2. Macroeconomic events - fall in interest rates mean household spending on mortgages have fallen
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10
Q

what is an underlying measure of inflation and why is it better than headline

A

gives a more accurate picture of inlation and removes the above influences

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11
Q

how do you calculate underlying measures:

  1. trimmed mean
  2. weighted mean
A
  1. trimmed mean - all prices are arranged big to small and the top/bottom 15% are trimmed of
  2. weighted median - median of inflatino rate in CPI basket
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12
Q

what is demand pull inflation

A

too much money chasing too few goods - high demand caused by expenditure levels pulling up prices

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13
Q

what are 3 things that idnicate high demand (demand pull)

A
  1. high spending on construction/consumer durables
  2. excess money supply (growth rate money > growth rate output)
  3. excess labour demand (forces up wages = spending = = prices)
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14
Q

what is cost push inflation

A

rising production cost passed onto consumers through high price

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15
Q

what are 5 events that increase output price

A
  1. wages rise faster than worker productivity
  2. improts prices rises due to decreases currency
  3. rising energy price
  4. rising oil/petrol price
  5. natural disasters
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16
Q

describe output effects as a consequence of inflation

A

purchasing power is reduced and investment/output suffer

17
Q

what are the 5 output effects

A
  1. real income falls (price + interest rates rise faster than income)
  2. uncertainty
  3. capital for labour substition (machines over ppl)
  4. internation comp reduces
  5. lack of confidence in money as a store of value
18
Q

output effects - further explain uncertainty as an output effect of inlfation

A

savings and investment are disccouraged which reduces growth
investment is more risky as future cost and price are uncertain so rate of return is uncertain
increase capital exp risk = lower output and lower employment

19
Q

output effects - further explain the reduction of international competitiveness as an output effect of inlfation

A

if australia’s currency inflates - demand for exports falls as price rises and improts become more competitive as price falls relative to AUS (inflation - currency depreciation)

20
Q

output effects - further explain a lack of confidence in money as a store of value as an output effect of inlfation

A

ppl seek to reduce risk against price rise this is done through purchasing assets which is speculative activity

21
Q

explain redistributive effects of inflation

A

inflation burden doesnt fall evenly on all sectors

22
Q

who are the 4 winner of inflation

A
  1. households that can buy real assets
  2. skilled workers
  3. borrowers (build assets on borrowed funds)
  4. government (revenue increases
23
Q

who are the 4 losers of inflation

A
  1. low income earners (welfare)
  2. lenders (interest rates fall)
  3. savers (real value falls)
  4. Pay as you go taxpayers
24
Q

what is bracket creep

A

increased tax liability due to inceased cinome or inflation pushing them to higher tax brackets