Inflation Flashcards
what is inflation
the annual rate of change of the GENERAL PRICE LEVEL within the economy in a year
what happens to the value of money after inflation
when prices rise, value of money falls aka money buys less
how do you calculate inflation
CPI + FES
what does CPI stand for
consumer price index
What does FES stand for
family expenditure survey
what are the disadvantages of CPI
excludes house related payments eg. council tax, mortgage interest payment
what is FES
a survey which calculates the typical basket of goods, which reflects the SPENDING PATTERNS of an AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD
What is the effect of necessities in the FES
They give a high weight in the overall price index
What does CPI measure
the changes in the price level of market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households
what did CPI used to be called
RPI (retail price index)
PROBELMS WITH MEASURING INFLATION (5) CHECK ANSWER
- prices are recorded + annual % change in index is measured HOWEVER there can be changes due to excess supply = cost less
- FES does not represent the whole population (pensioners is different to youths) as DIFFERENT PEOPLE spend their money DIFFERENTLY
- Weights are reviewed every year but NEW products come onto the market more often
- differences in regional living costs are not published (more expensive to live in London than in the suburbs)
- CPI cannot ensure changes in quality of goods (cars have improved over the years and therefore OVERSTATE true inflation.
what are the effects of inflation on consumers (4 STEPS)
- consumers buy less as everything more expensive and money value is falling: cannot afford to buy as many products = less aggregate demand but only for luxuries as you need necessities
- however many not effect much as INCOME MAY ALSO INCREASE and inflation increases (same rate or faster) = no fall in demand
- however rich people don’t care because they are rich = more divide between rich and poor
- UK goods more expensive = foreign purchases fall / stop = less demand = less UK exports
what are the effects on inflation on businesses (4)
- fall in aggregate demand + income if products aren’t a necessity
- high inflation = fall in business confidence = fall in investments in economy = recession
- fall in aggregate demand for UK businesses located abroad / trade abroad - however may not effect our exports if OTHER economies are worse
- countries becoming more developed = COSTS FOR BUSINESSES GO UP (aka raw materials they use) = increase price = decrease in aggregate demand
what is disinflation
occurs when there is a fall in the level of inflation (prices are going up but not as much as they were before)
what are the causes of disinflation (2)
- a raw material or production that has a big effect on the products falls in price = lower (but still increasing) price
- the price of a main product that has an effect in the average of good prices i.e. food has fallen
what is deflation
occurs when there is a persistent and sustained reduction in the general level of prices within an economy
causes of deflation (2)
- fall in aggregate demand within economy (e.g. due to unemployment = people can’t afford much = less aggregate demand)
- the price of imports decreasing for an economy = able to buy more raw materials from abroad
what is demand pull inflation
when there is excess aggregate demand = businesses raise price to increase profit margins
what are the causes of demand pull inflation (4)
- fast growth in aggregate DEMAND for credit / borrowing
- high levels of consumer spending
- APS falling ( could be due to low interest rates)
- WEALTH EFFECT
what does APS stand for
Average propensity to save
what is the wealth effect
when the value of consumer’s possessions increases (i.e. price of houses increases) = consumers feel richer = likely to spend more
what is the cause of cost push inflation
when the costs of production are increasing:
the prices of RAW MATERIALS (i.e. oil) increases = businesses need to spend MORE money to obtain the SAME AMOUNT of raw materials = production cost increases = businesses would increase their selling price in order to MAINTAIN a CERTAIN profit
what are the causes of costs of production cost increasing (3)
- external shock (natural disasters they are not prepared for)
- depreciation in exchange rate (pound decrease = businesses (who obtain raw materials abroad) need to spend MORE money to obtain the SAME amount of RAW MATERIALS = production cost increase)
- acceleration in wages (businesses need to pay more wages to their employees)
what are the negative economic consequences of inflation? (3)
- WAGE PRICE SPIRAL - rise in prices ( b/c of inflation ) = workers ask for higher wages to continue to maintain their standard of living BUT increase in wage demand = higher prices as firms want to PROTECT profit margins
- inflation = fall in real value of money = discourages saving (fall in APS) + = people on fixed incomes lose out (i.e. pensioners) = increase in inequality gap
- CREATES UNCERTAINITY = more unemployment + discourage investment = harm economic growth