Inflation Flashcards
Define CPI
A consumer price index is a price index, the price of a weighted average market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households.
Define RPI
Similar to CPI but includes household mortgage interest payments and excludes very high and low income households
Define RPIX
Similar to RPI but it excludes mortgage interest costs
Define RPIY
The RPIY measures core inflation this is RPIX minus taxes such as VAT and excise duty
Define Cost Push Inflation
occurs when we experience rising prices due to higher costs of production and higher costs of raw materials, it is determined by supply side factors (shifts SRAS)
What are the causes of cost push inflation
Higher price of commodities such as oil as this will affect all firms’ costs.
Increased cost of imports due to a depreciation of the exchange rate.
Higher wages, such as if in a wage price spiral.
Higher taxes, such as VAT or excise duties.
Monopoly abuse, if a firm has increased power, it may increase prices.
What are the policies to reduce cost push inflation
The government could pursue deflationary fiscal policy (higher taxes, lower spending) or monetary authorities could increase interest rates. This would increase the cost of borrowing and reduce consumer spending and investment.
The long-term solution to cost-push inflation could be better supply-side policies which help to increase productivity and shift the AS curve to the right.
Define Demand pull inflation
A period of inflation which arises from rapid growth in aggregate demand, if AD rises faster than LRAS then firms will respond by putting up prices.
What are the causes of demand pull inflation
Lower interest rates, causes a rise in AD.
A rise in house prices, creates wealth effect which boosts spending
Rising real wages
What are the policies to reduce demand pull inflation
Fiscal policy – If AD is too high they may tighten fiscal policy by reducing gov spending on public and merit goods, or to raise direct taxes leading to a fall in AD.
Monetary Policy – Increasing interest rates to increase saving not spending and reduces the houses demanded as higher mortgage rates
Supply side policies to increase productivity, competition which will lead to lower prices.
What do monetarist economists argue
Monetarists (Milton Friedman) argue that if the money supply rises faster than the rate of growth of national income, then there will be inflation.
What is the Fischer Equation
Fischer version MV=PT or MV=PY
M = money supply
V = Velocity of circulation (is the average number of times the dollar is spent
P = Price level
T = Transactions
Y = Real GDP
How do you make nominal GDP with the Fischer equation
So P x Y or M x V = nominal GDP (given in current prices, without adjustment for inflation.)
How does an increase in money supply cause inflation
Monetarists believe that in the short-term velocity (V) is fixed. This is because the rate at which money circulates is determined by institutional factors, e.g how often workers are paid does not change much but is treated as fixed.
They also believe output Y is fixed. They state it may vary in the short run by not in the long run (because LRAS is inelastic and determined by supply side factors).
There is only 1 point left M that can increase P.
What is the critics of monetarism
V – is not very stable due to confidence
The link between Money supply and Inflation is very weak.
An increase in money supply would take around 9-12 months to lead to higher output.