inferential statistics Flashcards
What is the purpose of inferential statistics
allows us to study samples and then make generalizations about the population.
draws a conclusions about a population by examining the random sample.
Helps researchers test hypotheses and answer research questions, and derive meaning from the results.
a result found to be statistically significant by testing the sample is assumed to also hold for the population from which the sample was drawn.
Enables researchers to:
Estimate population proportions
Estimate population mean
Estimate sampling error
Estimate confidence intervals
Test for statistical significance
What are the two main types of methods in inferential statistics
Two main methods:
estimation
the sample statistic is used to estimate a population parameter.
a confidence interval about the estimate is constructed.
hypothesis testing
a null hypothesis is put forward.
Analysis of the data is then used to determine whether to reject it.
Differences between null and alternative hypothesis
the alternative (research) hypothesis (H1) is true and the null hypothesis (H0) is not. in testing differences, the H1 would predict that differences would be found, while the H0 would predict no differences.
Tell me about the significance interval and what the most level is
Researchers set the significance level for each statistical test they conduct.
by using probability theory as a basis for their tests, researchers can assess how likely it is that the difference they find is real and not due to chance.
The level of significance is the predetermined level at which a null hypothesis is not supported. The most common level is p < .05.
P =probability
< = less than (> = more than)
If the .05 level is achieved (p is equal to or less than .05), then a researcher rejects the H0 and accepts the H1.
If the .05 significance level is not achieved (p is more than.05), then the H0 is retained.
Describe the difference between a type 1 and type 2 error.
Type I error: Erroneously rejecting the null hypothesis. Your result is significant (p < .05), so you reject the null hypothesis, but the null hypothesis is actually true.
Type II error: Erroneously accepting the null hypothesis. Your result is not significant (p > .05), so you don’t reject the null hypothesis, but null hypothesis is actually false.
How can you control a type two 2 error
Type II errors can also be controlled by the researcher.
The Type II error rate is sometimes called beta, as a complement to alpha.
How can the beta rate be controlled? The easiest way to control Type II errors is by increase the statistical power of a test.
What happens with a larger sample size does the statistical power go up or down
Power is strongly influenced by sample size. With a larger N, we are more likely to reject the null hypothesis if it is truly false.
(As N increases, the standard error shrinks. Sampling error becomes less problematic, and true differences are easier to detect.).
The probability that the statistical test will correctly reject a false null hypothesis
a researcher would like to have a high level of power
Factors that affect the power of an experiment
(4) factors
Alpha level
Sample size
Effect size
One-tailed or two-tailed test
Describe the power level in more detail here
This is an indication of the size of the treatment effect, its meaningfulness.
With a large effect size, it will be easy to detect differences and statistical power will be high.
But, if the treatment effect is small, it will be difficult to detect differences and power will be low.
Give me what the most used CI is
Estimate the population mean or proportion based on the sample survey.
Confidence level: social science standard is 95%.
95% certain that our population estimate is correct within a specified range
This is the precision of the estimates.
Hypothesis testing procedure give me the steps
State the hypothesis (H0) Select the probability level (alpha) Determine the value needed for significance Calculate the test statistic Accept or reject H0
What if you accept the H0 what do you say
Step 1
Ho: no difference between 2 means; any difference found is due to sampling error.
any significant difference found is not a TRUE difference, but CHANCE due to sampling error.
Level of signifance reject the HO setting your alpha level
Probability that sample means are different enough to reject Ho (.05 or .01).
level of probability or level of confidence
compute the calculated value step 3
Computing Calculated Value
Use statistical test to derive some calculated value (e.g., t value or F value).
Step 4 Obtain critical value
Obtain Critical Value
a criterion used based on df and alpha level (.05 or .01) is compared to the calculated value to determine if findings are significant and therefore reject Ho.