II-Cost of Capital-4 Flashcards

1
Q

Cost of Capital 意义何在?

  1. rationalize
  2. 四种capital resource,特殊说明
A
  1. 对企业进行估值需要未来现金流折现FCFF

折现率就是WACC,cost of capital,故取得合适的WACC,折现率低,企业估值更高

  1. debt/preferred stock/common stock/ retained earnings

留存收益:企业留作自己投资。若投资回报率低于股东用作其他投资的回报率,则钱应该还给股东

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2
Q

Weighted Average Cost of Capital

【WACC】

  1. equation
  2. also called:
A

also called: marginal cost of capital 【MCC】

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3
Q

如何确定企业的

capital structure 2

A
  1. 使用target capital structure
  2. 若信息不可得,则用现在的structure(假设已经是target)
  3. 分析企业近年stucture发展趋势,获得forcasted structure
  4. 用行业comparable average structure
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4
Q

计算cost of capital

框架

A
  1. 计算capital structure - 各项capital构成
  2. 如图

debt-rating approach: part of matrix pricing

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5
Q

计算cost of preferred stock

equation

A
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6
Q

cost of equity

基本模型

  1. 名称
  2. equation
  3. 分项解释
  4. 一般化
A
  1. Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
  2. E(Ri)=RF+βi[E(RM)−RF]
  3. Rm-Rf: equity risk premium
  4. E(Ri)=RF+βi1(Factorriskpremium)1+βi2(Factorriskpremium)2+…+βij(Factorriskpremium)j
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7
Q

3 ways to estimate

equity risk premium

A
  • historical data approach
  • dividend discount model (DDM) approach
  • survey approach直接问专家感觉
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8
Q

对β的estimate

影响因素4

A
  1. estimation period, and periodicity
  2. selection of appropriate market index
  3. smoothing technique towards 1
  4. small-capitalization companies
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9
Q

βasset / βequity

  1. 辨析
  2. 推导
A
  1. βequity转化至βasset是去杠杆的过程,βasset不含债,纯股东出资,数值通常小于βequity
  2. 见图
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10
Q

非上市公司β的求导

  1. 名称
  2. 过程
A
  1. pure play method
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11
Q

在CAPM中加入

country risk premium 【CRP】

  1. 公式
  2. CRP=
A

注意:分母

Annualized standard deviation of equity index/

Annualized standard deviation of the sovereign bond market in terms of the developed market currency

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12
Q

Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

计算cost of equity

  1. rationale
  2. equation
A

r = (D0*(1+g))/P0 +g

Gordon Growth Model (GGM): 假设D每年以g的速度增长,再按re折现求价格

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13
Q

Bond Yield plus Risk Premium Approach

求cost of equity

公式

A

re = rd + risk premium

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14
Q

Optimal Investment Dicision Chart

  1. 图形+曲线名称
  2. 解释上斜/下斜曲线
  3. 解释交点
A
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15
Q

项目的cost of capital

和公司整体的cost of capital

关系

A
  1. 项目风险大于avg, 则cost>WACC【加risk premium进行调整】, 若用WACC折现则NPV高估
  2. 项目风险小于avg,则cost<wacc></wacc>

<p> </p>

</wacc>

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16
Q

计算break point

假设资本结构25%debt, 75%equity

A
17
Q

Flotation Costs 如何考虑

  1. 方法1
  2. 方法2
  3. 比较
A
  1. 考虑为cost of equity的一部分(图),算re-WACC-NPV
  2. 考虑为initial CF outflow. 正常计算re-WACC-NPV,再从NPV中减去FC
  3. 理论上方法2更符合真实情况,但实际中方法1运用更多