Hypothesis Testing Flashcards
(40 cards)
Null Hypothesis
A hypothesis that is tested in an experiment
Null Hypothesis notation
Ho: X=B
Signifigance level
Can be notated as α. 1.96 is a “critical value”
Critical Value
Test Statistic
The number that can be greater or less than a critical value, and thus be significant or not significant
Rejection Region
The value below/above the critical value. If test statistic is in this region, we can reject the Null Hypothesis. If It’s not, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. (That term is specific, we cannot “accept” a null hypothesis, only fail to reject it.”)
Types of logical “errors”
Type I: If there is not a difference, a significance, and you find that there was, you made a type one error
Type 2: If there is a difference, and you find there isn’t, you made a type two error.
α
Whatever alpha is, I’m willing to accept
beta
α level
The largest probability of committing type 1 error we “allow”, while rejecting/not accepting the No (null hypothesis)
Alternative Hypothesis (H1)
The idea that researchers are trying to prove as an “alternative” to the null: this is something akin to what we believe to actually be true, versus the null hyp.
beta (β) error
When a null, in reality, is incorrect/untrue, yet we don’t find evidence to disprove it or prove the alt hypothesis, we have made a β error.
Cohen’s d
One measure of effect size. It tells us precisely how many SD above/below the null hypothesis of our population
Cohen’s effect size conventions
An effect size measured using Cohen’s d needs context:
d
directional tests (one-tailed test)
A hypothesis test where the alt hypoth is in the form >/< the value of the null. Indicates a “specific alternative” to the null
effect size
A stat measure of the size of the “change” that a variable has had in an experiment. Measured by the differences of scores in the population between treatment and control, given that the samples used were randomly sampled.
hypothesis testing
A structured process by which scientists draw likely conclusions about a population from observations.
critical value
If you obtain sample means beyond this value on a distribution, you would reject the null hypothesis
null hypothesis (Ho)
The assumption about what is “actually” present or occurring in a population: the goal of hypothesis testing is to make a decision to reject or accept this idea. Needs to be reasonable given the data available.
obtained value
the value of the test statistic: if the sample z-statistic (or whatever statistic you’re measuring) falls outside of the α, you reject the null (it was unlikely to occur by chance)
power
the probability of rejecting a null when it is false. Put differently, it is the probability of a randomly selected sample will show the falsehood of a null when it’s actually false.
test statistic
A formula that gives us how many SD a sample is from the value of our stated Null.
one sample z test
The statistical hypothesis test used when we know a mean and SD in a single population.
p-value
the probability of obtaining a sample value given that the null is true. In behavioral science, typically, if it’s less than 5 percent, we have a decent amount of certainty that the null is untrue