Human Capital Flashcards

1
Q

Define ‘convergence’

A

In economics, “convergence” refers to the idea that countries or regions with lower per-capita incomes will tend to grow faster than those with higher per-capita incomes, eventually leading to the narrowing of the gap between the two.

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2
Q

Define “conditional convergence”

A

The “conditional convergence” is based on the assumption that there are certain conditions that need to be met in order for convergence to occur

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3
Q

Define ‘absolute convergence’

A

The suggestion that all countries will eventually converge towards the same level of income and development, regardless of their initial conditions.

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4
Q

List reasons convergence could be argued to be conditional

A
  1. “democratic change” theory. (Chaney, 2012).
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5
Q

“Democratic change” theory

A

Chaney (2012)

The level of democracy in a country can have an impact on its economic development.

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6
Q

Chaney (2012)

A

“Democratic change” theory

Countries with more democratic systems tend to experience higher rates of economic growth and convergence.

Countries with less democratic systems tend to experience lower rates of economic growth and divergence.

Democratic systems > support the rule of law, property rights > institutions that promote economic development

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7
Q

“Convergence club” theory

A

According to this theory, there is a group of countries that tend to converge towards the same level of income and development, while other countries do not converge at all.

The “convergence club,” are characterized by similar institutional, cultural, and economic characteristics, such as a high level of education, a stable political system, and a strong market economy.

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8
Q

Glaeser et al (2004)

A

Economic growth and improvements in political institutions do not necessarily occur naturally or automatically, but rather depend on the presence of certain conditions.

Factors such as: the quality of political institutions, human and physical capital accumulation, and policies pursued by governments

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9
Q

How can poor countries escape poverty?

A

(Glaeser et al, 2004)

Poor countries can often escape poverty through good policies, even if these policies are implemented by dictators > these countries may improve their political institutions.

South Korea, Taiwan, and China > grew rapidly under one-party dictatorships > eventually turned to democracy

Thus, support the idea that growth can lead to better political institutions.

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10
Q

How does Glaeser et al (2004) disagree with Chaney’s democratic change theory?

A

Economic divergence could occur even under dictatorships.

From accumulating human and physical capital under dictatorships > become wealthier > more likely to improve their institutions.

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11
Q

“Human capital” theory

A

Convergence is conditional.

Countries with a higher level of human capital (such as education and skills) > grow faster and converge towards the same level of income and development.

i.e Rocha et al. (2017)

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12
Q

Rocha et al. (2017)

A

Human capital persistence (the ability of human capital to be transmitted from one generation to the next) is an important determinant of economic development.

I.e Brazil’s state-sponsored settlement policy

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13
Q

Give one example that proves that human capital persistence is an important determinant of economic development

A

(Rocha et al, 2017)

State-sponsored settlement policy > attracted immigrants with higher levels of schooling to certain regions of Brazil > resulted in long-term effects on those regions’ levels of schooling and income per capita.

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14
Q

Squicciarini and Voigtlander (2015)

A

‘Upper-tail human capital’ > important factor in the Industrial Revolution

  • The presence of knowledge elites, or people with advanced skills > entrepreneurial capabilities + lower access costs to modern techniques > shift the production function > raise total factor productivity > higher output and economic growth.
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15
Q

Mokyr (2005)

A

The success of the Industrial Enlightenment was influenced by a range of intellectual, institutional, and cultural factors, as well as historical events and contingencies.

  • Economic improvement was dependent on institutional progress to complement technological progress
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16
Q

Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1992)

A

Analysed data from over 100 countries and found that poorer countries tend to grow faster than wealthier countries.

  • The ‘iron law of convergence’
17
Q

“convergence in income per capita”

A

Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1992)

“Convergence in income per capita” suggests that poorer countries have the potential to close the gap with wealthier countries over time.

  • The ‘iron law of convergence’
18
Q

The ‘iron law of convergence’

A

The ‘iron law of convergence’ states that countries eliminate gaps in levels of real per capita GDP at a rate around 2% per year.

The iron law takes the form of absolute convergence in some samples of economies (Barro and Sala-i-Martin, 1992).

19
Q

What’s the weakness with the argument presented by Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1992)

A

Their theory might be weaker when applied to countries while factoring variables that differ in each country

Barro and Sala-i-Martin admit that poor places – North Korea, Burma, Bolivia, or Venezuela – might not converge if key underlying variables, such as the quality of human capital and institutions, were not improved

20
Q

Pritchett (1997)

A

Some countries may actually diverge, or become more different, over time

It is historically rare and there are forces that can lead to stagnation or decline in poorer countries > even when certain factors or conditions are present

21
Q

What does the data on growth in developing countries highlight on the existence of poverty traps

A

Some countries are unable to escape low levels of income and productivity due to various structural or economic challenges.

Pritchett (1997) > many developing countries have experienced not just a slowdown, but a “meltdown” with growth rates significantly decelerating over time.

22
Q

Give 5 reasons on why convergence is conditional

A
  1. Democratic change theory (Chaney, 2012)
  2. “Convergence club” theory
  3. Political institutions (Glaeser et al 2004)
  4. Institutional progress and technological progress (Mokyr, 2005)
  5. Human capital theory (Rocha et al, 2017)
    5.1 ‘Upper-tail human capital’ theory (S&V, 2015)
23
Q

Give * reasons on why convergence is not conditional

A
  1. Absolute convergence (Barro and Sala-I-Martin, 1992)
  2. “Divergence” theory (Pritchett, 1997)